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Published on 4/6/2020 in the Prospect News Distressed Debt Daily and Prospect News Emerging Markets Daily.

Moody’s cuts Zambia to Ca

Moody’s Investors Service said it downgraded the government of Zambia’s long-term issuer ratings to Ca from Caa2 and changed the outlook to stable from negative.

“The downgrade to Ca reflects Moody’s view that Zambia’s capacity to service its debt has further weakened over the past year as weak governance has prevented rapid and decisive policy actions, leading to a substantial deterioration of fiscal metrics. In addition, external and liquidity pressures are rising rapidly amid exceptionally challenging global conditions, also increasing the probability of default,” the agency said in a press release.

“In Moody’s view, a restructuring of Zambia’s government debt that constitutes a default under Moody’s definition has become increasingly likely in order to address debt sustainability issues. Should a default occur, the losses expected to be experienced by investors will likely be larger than Moody’s previously estimated,” Moody’s said.


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