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Published on 2/13/2012 in the Prospect News Emerging Markets Daily.

Moody's lowers nine European countries to show risks

As anticipated in November, Moody's Investors Service said it adjusted the sovereign debt ratings of selected European countries in order to reflect their susceptibility to the growing financial and macroeconomic risks emanating from the euro area crisis and how these risks exacerbate the affected countries' own specific challenges.

Moody's assigned the following changes:

• Austria: outlook on Aaa rating changed to negative;

• France: outlook on Aaa rating changed to negative;

• Italy: downgraded to A3 from A2, negative outlook;

• Malta: downgraded to A3 from A2, negative outlook;

• Portugal: downgraded to Ba3 from Ba2, negative outlook;

• Slovakia: downgraded to A2 from A1, negative outlook;

• Slovenia: downgraded to A2 from A1, negative outlook;

• Spain: downgraded to A3 from A1, negative outlook; and

• United Kingdom: outlook on Aaa rating changed to negative.

Moody's said the main drivers are

• The uncertainty over (a) the euro area's prospects for institutional reform of its fiscal and economic framework and (b) the resources that will be made available to deal with the crisis;

• Europe's increasingly weak macroeconomic prospects, which threaten the implementation of domestic austerity programs and the structural reforms that are needed to promote competitiveness; and

• The impact that Moody's said it believes these factors will continue to have on market confidence, which is likely to remain fragile, with a high potential for further shocks to funding conditions for stressed sovereigns and banks.


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