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Published on 7/13/2006 in the Prospect News Bank Loan Daily, Prospect News Convertibles Daily, Prospect News Emerging Markets Daily and Prospect News High Yield Daily.

Fallen angels exceed rising stars for first time since 2003, S&P says

By Jennifer Chiou

New York, July 13 - Fallen angels are now outnumbering rising starts for the first time since 2003 after the biggest monthly number of downgrades to junk since that year, according to a Standard & Poor's "Global Potential Fallen Angel Report."

Nine companies have lost their investment-grade status since the update in June, S&P said.

"This month, fallen angels have overtaken rising stars by a margin of eight entities," noted Diane Vazza, head of S&P's global fixed income research group, in the report.

"This is a reversal of the pattern seen in 2004 and 2005."

For 2006 through July 11, 25 fallen angels have been recorded on rated debt worth $34 billion, the report noted.

Simultaneously, the number of entities at risk of declining into fallen-angel territory decreased relative to one month ago and remains below its year-ago level, S&P said.

As of July 11, there were 40 entities globally at risk of becoming fallen angels, with rated debt totaling $63.7 billion - two fewer than the 42 reported a month ago and seven fewer than the 47 in July 2005, the report said.

Potential fallen angels are companies rated BBB- and on CreditWatch negative or with a negative outlook.


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