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Published on 6/3/2004 in the Prospect News Bank Loan Daily, Prospect News Convertibles Daily, Prospect News Distressed Debt Daily, Prospect News Emerging Markets Daily and Prospect News High Yield Daily.

Second quarter outlook changes favorable, Moody's says

New York, June 2 - An "extraordinarily high" 84% of the outlook changes so far in the second quarter to U.S. high-yield issuers have been favorable, Moody's Investors Service said Thursday.

That is an increase from 63% for the whole of the first quarter.

For all issuers, 77% of outlook changes have been favorable, up from 58% in the first quarter and 56% for all of 2003.

Meanwhile, 47% of U.S. credit rating revisions were upgrades in the second quarter to date, improved from 41% in the first quarter and 30% for all of 2003, Moody's said.

For high-yield issuers, 49% of rating changes have been upgrades in the second quarter compared to 43% in the first quarter and 35% in 2003.

"From the perspective of outlook changes, new credit rating revisions and actual credit rating revisions, a corporate credit cycle upturn is very much in effect," commented Moody's analyst John Lonski in a report.


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