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Published on 7/17/2003 in the Prospect News Bank Loan Daily, Prospect News Convertibles Daily, Prospect News Distressed Debt Daily and Prospect News High Yield Daily.

Credit quality slide continues to slow for U.S. non-financial issuers, S&P says

New York, July 17 - The pace of credit deterioration for U.S. non-financial issuers continued to slow in the second quarter, Standard & Poor's said Thursday.

During the three months, downgrades made up 75% of all rating actions compared to 80% in the first quarter, S&P said. The low point was in the fourth quarter of 2001 when the measure reached 90%.

"With percentage change in GDP forecasted at over a 4% increase for the second half of 2003 and 2004, the incidence of downgrades will continue to decelerate, although the percentage will remain well above the decade's average of 64%," said Diane Vazza, head of Standard & Poor's global fixed income research group, in a news release.

S&P added that outlook changes support expectations of a slowing in downgrade.

At June 30, 29% of issuers had a negative outlook or were on CreditWatch negative compared to 31% at the end of March and 32% a year earlier.

The proportion of stable outlooks inched up to 63% from 62% at both the end of March and a year earlier. Positive outlooks were at 6% versus 5% a year earlier.


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