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Published on 2/21/2013 in the Prospect News Emerging Markets Daily.

Fitch lifts Poland to positive

Fitch Ratings said it revised the outlook on Poland's long-term foreign- and local-currency issuer default ratings to positive from stable and affirmed the issuer default ratings at A- and A, respectively.

Fitch also said it affirmed Poland's country ceiling at AA- and short-term foreign-currency issuer default rating at F2.

The outlook revision reflects Poland's general government deficit, which has narrowed by about 4.5 percentage points of GDP since 2010 to an estimated 3.4% of GDP in 2012, placing it among the European Union's best performers, Fitch said.

Public debt has stabilized and is forecast to moderate to 54.5% of GDP in 2014 from a peak of 56.4% of GDP in 2011, closing the gap with the A median, the agency said.

Reforms to the pension system adopted in 2012 will improve the medium-term sustainability of public finances, Fitch added.

Reforms to the business environment - evident in an improvement in the World Bank's indicator - are ongoing and could lead to an increase in potential growth in the long term, Fitch said.


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