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Published on 10/7/2004 in the Prospect News Emerging Markets Daily.

S&P: Poland outlook stable

Standard & Poor's said it revised its outlook on the Republic of Poland to stable from negative. At the same time, the BBB+/A-2 foreign currency and A-/A-2 local currency sovereign credit ratings on Poland were affirmed.

"The outlook revision reflects Poland's strengthened external position and a modest improvement in fiscal performance compared with earlier expectations," said S&P credit analyst Beatriz Merino.

Robust export growth has contributed to a narrowing of the current account deficit, projected at less than 2% of GDP in 2004, which is likely to be largely financed by the recovery of net foreign direct investment inflows. The external gap is expected to increase gradually, but will still remain at less than 3% of GDP in 2005-2007. At least 50% of this deficit will be covered by nondebt capital inflows, preserving Poland's good liquidity indicators.


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