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Published on 1/9/2014 in the Prospect News Emerging Markets Daily.

Fitch: Philippines bonds BBB-

Fitch Ratings said it assigned an expected rating of BBB- to Philippines' forthcoming dollar-denominated global bonds due 2024.

The expected rating is in line with Philippines' long-term foreign-currency issuer default rating of BBB-. The sovereign also has a long-term local-currency issuer default rating of BBB and a stable outlook.

The sovereign external balance sheet is strong relative to peers, Fitch said. A persistent current account surplus, underpinned by remittance inflows, has led to the emergence of a net external creditor position in 2009, the agency said.

As a result, Philippine asset markets were less under pressure than some of its peers in the context of market expectations related to the U.S. central bank's unwinding of its quantitative easing program, Fitch said.

GDP growth has been strong and less volatile than many of its peers, as well, Fitch added.

While improvements in fiscal management have made general government debt dynamics more resilient to shocks, the low government revenues remain a weakness in the Philippines' credit profile, the agency said.


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