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Published on 11/7/2006 in the Prospect News Emerging Markets Daily.

Moody's ups view on Peru bonds to positive

Moody's Investors Service said it changed the outlook to positive from stable Peru's Ba3 foreign-currency government bonds and Ba2 foreign-currency country ceiling for bonds to reflect significant reductions in Peru's external vulnerabilities as a result of a continuous decline in external debt indicators, further strengthening of the international reserve position and evidence of diversified and robust export growth.

The outlook of the government's Baa3 local-currency bonds, Baa1 local-currency deposit ceiling and A3 local-currency bond ceiling remains stable.

Indications that the Peruvian government does not need to access the international capital markets to cover its financing needs represent a positive development as it effectively reduces Peru's credit exposure to potential changes in international market conditions, the agency said.

While government's efforts have been effective in increasing local-currency funding in the domestic market, a latent credit vulnerability remains given the presence of a relatively high share of foreign-currency denominated debt, and this condition may operate as a restriction to future improvements in the government's credit rating, Moody's noted.


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