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Published on 5/24/2019 in the Prospect News Investment Grade Daily.

Morning Commentary: Investment-grade market quiets; inflows drop; energy issues soften

By Cristal Cody

Tupelo, Miss., May 24 – Little activity is expected in the high-grade bond market on Friday with desks thinning and a weaker market tone ahead of the long Memorial Day holiday weekend.

The bond markets will close early at 2 p.m. ET on Friday and reopen on Tuesday following the holiday.

Investment-grade companies priced more than $15 billion of notes over the week, missing syndicate forecasts of $20 billion to $25 billion of supply.

About $15 billion of issuance is forecast for the upcoming short market week, according to syndicate sources.

Inflows declined this week across the high-grade space.

“Flows for this past week ending on May 22 show that U.S. mutual fund and ETF investors bought the dip,” Yuri Seliger, a credit strategist with BofA Merrill Lynch, said in a research note released on Friday. “As risk assets sold off flows turned positive for both stocks and high-yield bonds. That was funded with high-grade and government bonds, where inflows instead declined.”

Inflows to high grade, which includes corporate bonds, mortgages, agencies and Treasuries, declined to $310 million from $3.65 billion in the previous week.

The short-term high-grade space had an outflow of $220 million, down from a $960 million inflow a week earlier, Seliger said.

Excluding short-term inflows fell to $540 million from $2.69 billion.

High-grade flows were lower for both funds, to $80 million from $1.55 billion, and ETFs, to $230 million from $2.1 billion, according to the report.

Lipper US Fund Flows on Thursday reported corporate investment-grade funds had outflows of $756 million for the week ended May 22, compared to inflows of $2.18 billion in the prior week and $3.3 billion of inflows in the previous week.

New issues priced this week were mixed in secondary trading with energy names mostly weaker, according to market sources.

Consumers Energy Co.’s $300 million of 3.75% first mortgage bonds due Feb. 15, 2050 (Aa3/A/A+) that priced on Wednesday at a spread of 100 basis points over Treasuries softened to the 101 bps bid area.

The electric and gas utility is based in Jackson, Miss.

Ohio Power Co.’s 4% senior notes due June 1, 2049 that priced on Monday were quoted weaker at 120 bps bid.

The company sold $450 million of the notes (A2/A-) at a spread of Treasuries plus 118 bps.

Ohio Power is a Columbus, Ohio-based electricity provider and subsidiary of the American Electric Power Co., Inc.

Trading volume slowed to $17.6 billion on Thursday, compared to $19.93 billion on Wednesday, $18.21 billion on Tuesday and $15.18 billion on Monday, according to Trace.


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