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Published on 8/1/2012 in the Prospect News Canadian Bonds Daily.

Analysis of Canadian bond issuance for 13 months through July 2012

Columns are amount in billions of dollars, count of deals, percentage of total in dollars.

Country

7/20118/20119/201110/201111/201112/20111/20122/20123/20124/20125/20126/20127/2012
Canadian abroad10.2032.3999.63210.4438.1202.59810.1998.84913.0192.8818.4034.8713.546
Canadian domestic6.5329.40012.7478.51916.71311.27411.44117.0228.9178.63418.80213.8737.747
Maple bond 0 0 0 0 00.120 01.3000.2500.7500.7990.3001.726
Total16.73411.79922.37918.96124.83313.99221.64027.17122.18612.26528.00419.04313.018
Q3/2011Count Q4/2011Count Q1/2012Count Q2/2012Count Q3/2012Count YTDCount TotalCount Last 12 monthsCountYTD Share
Canadian abroad22.2332121.1612532.0673616.155233.546551.7676495.16111084.9599936.12%
Canadian domestic28.6794736.5058337.3806541.308797.7472086.435164151.619294145.08728060.31%
Maple bond 000.12011.55041.84951.72635.125125.245135.245133.58%
Total50.9136857.78610970.99710559.31210713.01828143.326240252.025417235.291392100.00%
Use of Proceeds
7/20118/20119/201110/201111/201112/20111/20122/20123/20124/20125/20126/20127/2012
Acquisition 00.390 0 00.075 0 0 0 0 0 00.650 0
Capex 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 02.590 0 0
Dividend/recap 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.125
GCP5.7172.6490.4982.9934.4831.1196.25611.5701.3431.6433.4066.1392.441
LBO0.273 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Redeem notes 0 0 0 00.400 0 00.9940.9881.812 00.169 0
Refinance0.265 00.200 0 00.0520.400 0 0 0 0 00.450
Repay bank debt0.200 0 00.6004.5060.1250.1750.3970.850 00.6500.6250.400
Multiple/Other/NA10.2808.76021.68115.36915.37012.69614.81014.21019.0058.80921.35811.4609.603
Total16.73411.79922.37918.96124.83313.99221.64027.17122.18612.26528.00419.04313.018
Q3/2011Count Q4/2011Count Q1/2012Count Q2/2012Count Q3/2012Count YTDCount TotalCount Last 12 monthsCountYTD Share
Acquisition0.39020.0751 000.6501 000.65011.11541.11540.45%
Capex 00 00 002.5904 002.59042.59042.59041.81%
Dividend/recap 00 00 00 000.12510.12510.12510.12510.09%
GCP8.864138.5941819.1692411.189202.441632.7985050.2568144.5397622.88%
LBO0.2731 00 00 00 00 000.2731 000.00%
Redeem notes 000.40011.98251.9815 003.963104.362114.362112.77%
Refinance0.46530.05210.4001 000.45010.85021.36761.10240.59%
Repay bank debt0.20015.231111.42261.27440.40023.096128.527248.327232.16%
Multiple/Other/NA40.7214843.4357748.0246941.628739.6031899.255160183.410285173.13026969.25%
Total50.9136857.78610970.99710559.31210713.01828143.326240252.025417235.291392100.00%
Upsized?
7/20118/20119/201110/201111/201112/20111/20122/20123/20124/20125/20126/20127/2012
Yes7.2570.3504.9450.9001.5490.3551.62510.6341.0031.02511.3782.8604.250
No9.47711.44917.43418.06123.28513.63620.01516.53621.18311.24016.62616.1848.643
Downsized 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.125
Total16.73411.79922.37918.96124.83313.99221.64027.17122.18612.26528.00419.04313.018
Q3/2011Count Q4/2011Count Q1/2012Count Q2/2012Count Q3/2012Count YTDCount TotalCount Last 12 monthsCountYTD Share
Yes12.552152.804813.2622315.263234.250432.7755048.1317340.8746122.87%
No38.3605354.98210157.7358244.049848.64323110.427189203.769343194.29233077.05%
Downsized 00 00 00 000.12510.12510.12510.12510.09%
Total50.9136857.78610970.99710559.31210713.01828143.326240252.025417235.291392100.00%
Versus Talk
7/20118/20119/201110/201111/201112/20111/20122/20123/20124/20125/20126/20127/2012
Lower 0 00.149 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01.0162.696
Low end3.857 01.1570.4754.5882.1342.8919.6615.0760.8722.7192.4454.300
Middle5.3942.850 00.4000.950 02.4391.1213.2340.690 00.4940.050
High end 02.500 01.016 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.125
NA7.4836.44921.07317.07019.29511.85816.31016.38913.87610.70225.28515.0895.847
Total16.73411.79922.37918.96124.83313.99221.64027.17122.18612.26528.00419.04313.018
Q3/2011Count Q4/2011Count Q1/2012Count Q2/2012Count Q3/2012Count YTDCount TotalCount Last 12 monthsCountYTD Share
Lower0.1491 00 001.01612.69643.71253.86063.86062.59%
Low end5.01587.1971117.628246.036124.300427.9644040.1755936.3185419.51%
Middle8.24491.35056.79481.18440.05018.0291317.6222712.229205.60%
High end2.50011.0161 00 000.12510.12513.64133.64130.09%
NA35.0054948.2239246.5747351.076905.84718103.497181186.726322179.24330972.21%
Total50.9136857.78610970.99710559.31210713.01828143.326240252.025417235.291392100.00%
Seniority
7/20118/20119/201110/201111/201112/20111/20122/20123/20124/20125/20126/20127/2012
Corporate mortgage 0 04.993 03.7465.968 05.5204.996 05.0335.731 0
Corporate senior secured0.273 0 0 0 0 00.1250.428 00.6240.2500.5670.125
Corporate senior subordinated 0 0 0 0 0 00.506 0 0 0 0 0 0
Corporate subordinated 0 00.036 00.5500.250 01.800 01.000 0 01.500
Asset-backed 0 00.498 00.4510.1201.000 0 00.3300.715 00.515
Corporate covered bonds1.887 06.9155.418 02.0344.5492.0932.723 00.249 0 0
Corporate municipal 0 00.199 00.310 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Corporate senior11.2787.0583.7518.52915.2333.53010.94911.30211.9964.91112.0299.75710.095
Mortgage-backed0.944 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Provincial2.3534.7415.9875.0154.5442.0904.5116.0272.4715.3999.7282.9890.783
Total16.73411.79922.37918.96124.83313.99221.64027.17122.18612.26528.00419.04313.018
Q3/2011Count Q4/2011Count Q1/2012Count Q2/2012Count Q3/2012Count YTDCount TotalCount Last 12 monthsCountYTD Share
Corporate mortgage4.99319.713410.516310.7646 0021.280935.9871435.9871414.85%
Corporate senior secured0.2731 000.55441.44150.12512.119102.392112.119101.48%
Corporate senior subordinated 00 000.5063 00 000.50630.50630.50630.35%
Corporate subordinated0.03610.80031.80031.00011.50014.30055.13695.13693.00%
Asset-backed0.49830.57141.00011.04560.51532.559103.628173.628171.79%
Corporate covered bonds8.80347.45249.36560.2491 009.614725.8691523.982146.71%
Corporate municipal0.19910.3102 00 00 00 000.50930.50930.00%
Corporate senior22.0873627.2915934.2476426.6965510.0952271.039141120.417236109.13922049.56%
Mortgage-backed0.9443 00 00 00 00 000.9443 000.00%
Provincial13.0801811.6493313.0092118.117330.783131.9095556.63810654.28510222.26%
Total50.9136857.78610970.99710559.31210713.01828143.326240252.025417235.291392100.00%
Moody's Rating
7/20118/20119/201110/201111/201112/20111/20122/20123/20124/20125/20126/20127/2012
Aaa8.3965.99813.3449.2827.1348.4025.46510.69810.7022.0187.5447.2250.125
Aa14.0020.8444.4344.2993.2132.5216.0034.0282.6483.0742.9210.0552.608
Aa21.8202.9482.2332.4054.3800.8636.2270.5181.0722.7054.1826.2253.099
Aa3 0 00.300 0 00.1000.3000.900 01.451 0 0 0
A1 0 0 0 00.011 0 00.3000.250 0 00.5490.075
A2 0 00.2010.200 0 0 02.000 00.225 00.2501.500
A3 00.3000.625 01.004 00.1250.946 0 00.450 01.001
Baa1 00.350 0 01.018 0 00.7503.983 00.3001.698 0
Baa2 0 0 0 04.019 0 01.4931.1810.4251.6880.3001.745
Baa3 00.969 0 00.506 0 0 00.474 00.100 00.050
Ba10.400 0 0 00.450 0 00.791 00.300 0 0 0
Ba2 0 0 0 0 00.305 0 00.497 0 00.169 0
B1 0 0 0 00.125 0 0 0 0 01.483 01.550
B2 0 0 0 0 0 00.051 0 00.297 0 0 0
B30.273 0 0 0 0 00.3000.0530.1040.6900.795 0 0
Caa1 0 0 0 0 0 00.900 0 0 0 0 0 0
Caa2 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.196 0 0 0 0 0
NR1.8430.3901.2422.3252.9721.8012.2704.4991.2751.0798.5402.5731.265
P-1 0 0 00.450 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total16.73411.79922.37918.96124.83313.99221.64027.17122.18612.26528.00419.04313.018
Q3/2011Count Q4/2011Count Q1/2012Count Q2/2012Count Q3/2012Count YTDCount TotalCount Last 12 monthsCountYTD Share
Aaa27.7381924.8183426.8641616.787170.125143.7763496.3338787.9368130.54%
Aa19.2801210.0331012.678176.049122.608321.3353240.6485436.6464814.89%
Aa27.001117.647167.8171313.112213.099524.0283938.6776636.8576316.76%
Aa30.30010.10011.19931.4513 002.65163.05083.05081.85%
A1 000.01110.55020.54920.07511.17451.18561.18560.82%
A20.20110.20012.00020.47521.50013.97554.37674.37672.77%
A30.92531.00431.07140.45021.00112.52274.451134.451131.76%
Baa10.35011.01824.73351.9984 006.73198.099128.099124.70%
Baa2 004.01962.67472.41351.74536.8311510.8502110.850214.77%
Baa30.96930.50620.47420.10010.05010.62542.10092.10090.44%
Ba10.40010.45010.79110.3001 001.09121.94141.54130.76%
Ba2 000.30510.49710.1691 000.66620.97230.97230.46%
B1 000.1251 001.48311.55033.03343.15853.15852.12%
B2 00 000.05110.2971 000.34820.34820.34820.24%
B30.2731 000.45741.4853 001.94272.21581.94271.35%
Caa1 00 000.9001 00 000.90010.90010.90010.63%
Caa2 00 000.1961 00 000.19610.19610.19610.14%
NR3.475157.099298.0432512.193311.265921.5016532.07510930.23210115.00%
P-1 000.4501 00 00 00 000.45010.45010.00%
Total50.9136857.78610970.99710559.31210713.01828143.326240252.025417235.291392100.00%
Industry Sector (by SIC code)
7/20118/20119/201110/201111/201112/20111/20122/20123/20124/20125/20126/20127/2012
Mining (1xxx) 00.969 00.4003.013 0 01.1943.9830.2972.2780.5001.745
Oil and gas (13xx)0.400 0 00.2002.3240.3051.0750.3961.1810.2000.591 02.101
Manufacturing (2xxx, 3xxx)0.448 01.1590.3500.750 00.1252.7020.9000.1010.7500.9680.200
Transportation (4xxx) 0 0 0 02.084 0 0 0 00.399 00.397 0
Communications (48xx) 0 00.200 0 0 0 00.992 00.6901.0970.998 0
Electric, gas, sanitary services (49xx)0.3350.3500.9101.1251.7930.5010.3001.0450.8500.2250.4001.9250.838
Wholesale (5xxx) 0 0 0 00.075 0 0 0 00.300 00.150 0
Finance, insurance, real estate (6xxx)13.1995.73912.11011.8729.66610.75515.57914.71412.8014.65211.8038.7496.623
Services (7xxx) 0 0 0 00.125 00.051 0 0 01.356 00.575
Health services (8xxx) 0 01.006 00.148 0 00.100 0 0 0 0 0
Sovereign (8888)2.3534.7416.9945.0154.8542.4304.5116.0272.4715.3999.7285.3560.783
Government (91xx) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.153
Total16.73411.79922.37918.96124.83313.99221.64027.17122.18612.26528.00419.04313.018
Q3/2011Count Q4/2011Count Q1/2012Count Q2/2012Count Q3/2012Count YTDCount TotalCount Last 12 monthsCountYTD Share
Mining (1xxx)0.96933.41355.17773.07551.74539.9971514.3792314.379236.98%
Oil and gas (13xx)0.40012.82972.65270.79122.10135.544128.773208.373193.87%
Manufacturing (2xxx, 3xxx)1.60781.10033.727121.81980.20015.746218.453328.005304.01%
Transportation (4xxx) 002.0847 000.7972 000.79722.88192.88190.56%
Communications (48xx)0.2001 000.99222.7864 003.77863.97873.97872.64%
Electric, gas, sanitary services (49xx)1.59453.419142.19482.55060.83835.5821710.5963610.261343.89%
Wholesale (5xxx) 000.0751 000.4502 000.45020.52530.52530.31%
Finance, insurance, real estate (6xxx)31.0482732.2933443.0954625.204376.6231474.92197138.263158125.06314252.27%
Services (7xxx) 000.12510.05111.35640.57521.98272.10782.10781.38%
Health services (8xxx)1.00630.14810.1001 00 000.10011.25551.25550.07%
Sovereign (8888)14.0872012.2993613.0092120.484370.783134.2765960.66211558.31011123.91%
Government (91xx) 00 00 00 000.15310.15310.15310.15310.11%
Total50.9136857.78610970.99710559.31210713.01828143.326240252.025417235.291392100.00%
Criteria

• The tables include all underwritten offerings reported to Prospect News.

• All amounts are in Canadian dollars.

• Offerings are included in the time period in which they price.

• Amounts are based on the total sales price (face amount multiplied by the offering price). The full amount is credited to the bookrunner (or lead manager if no bookrunners). For multiple bookrunners (or lead managers), the total value is divided equally among all the firms.

• Each tranche is counted as a separate deal.

• The provinces table includes all bonds sold by Canadian provinces in the Canadian market or abroad; the Canadian domestic market is Canadian dollar deals sold by issuers based in Canada; Maple bonds is non-Canadian issuers selling in Canadian dollars.

• Government of Canada bonds are excluded.

• Convertibles, trust preferreds and preferred stock are excluded.


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