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Published on 7/3/2012 in the Prospect News Canadian Bonds Daily.

Analysis of Canadian bond issuance for 13 months through June 2012

Columns are amount in billions of dollars, count of deals, percentage of total in dollars.

Country

6/20117/20118/20119/201110/201111/201112/20111/20122/20123/20124/20125/20126/2012
Canadian abroad5.07610.4432.39911.03310.4438.1202.59810.1998.84913.0192.8818.4034.871
Canadian domestic12.8116.5329.40012.7478.51916.71311.27411.44117.0228.9178.63418.80213.873
Maple bond0.225 0 0 0 0 00.120 01.3000.2500.7500.7990.300
Total18.11216.97511.79923.78018.96124.83313.99221.64027.17122.18612.26528.00419.043
Q3/2011Count Q4/2011Count Q1/2012Count Q2/2012Count YTDCount TotalCount Last 12 monthsCountYTD Share
Canadian abroad23.8752321.1612532.0673616.1552348.2225998.33411593.25710737.01%
Canadian domestic28.6794736.5058337.3806541.3087978.688144156.683294143.87227460.39%
Maple bond 000.12011.55041.84953.39993.744113.519102.61%
Total52.5547057.78610970.99710559.312107130.308212258.761420240.649391100.00%
Use of Proceeds
6/20117/20118/20119/201110/201111/201112/20111/20122/20123/20124/20125/20126/2012
Acquisition 0 00.390 0 00.075 0 0 0 0 0 00.650
Capex0.500 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 02.590 0
GCP5.3895.7172.6491.8992.9934.4831.1196.25611.5701.3431.6433.4066.139
LBO0.5700.273 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Redeem notes 0 0 0 0 00.400 0 00.9940.9881.812 00.169
Refinance 00.265 00.200 0 00.0520.400 0 0 0 0 0
Repay bank debt 00.200 0 00.6004.5060.1250.1750.3970.850 00.6500.625
Multiple/Other/NA11.65310.5208.76021.68115.36915.37012.69614.81014.21019.0058.80921.35811.460
Total18.11216.97511.79923.78018.96124.83313.99221.64027.17122.18612.26528.00419.043
Q3/2011Count Q4/2011Count Q1/2012Count Q2/2012Count YTDCount TotalCount Last 12 monthsCountYTD Share
Acquisition0.39020.0751 000.65010.65011.11541.11540.50%
Capex 00 00 002.59042.59043.09052.59041.99%
GCP10.265148.5941819.1692411.1892030.3574454.6068749.2177623.30%
LBO0.2731 00 00 00 000.84320.27310.00%
Redeem notes 000.40011.98251.98153.963104.362114.362113.04%
Refinance0.46530.05210.4001 000.40010.91750.91750.31%
Repay bank debt0.20015.231111.42261.27442.696108.127228.127222.07%
Multiple/Other/NA40.9614943.4357748.0246941.6287389.652142185.701284174.04826868.80%
Total52.5547057.78610970.99710559.312107130.308212258.761420240.649391100.00%
Upsized?
6/20117/20118/20119/201110/201111/201112/20111/20122/20123/20124/20125/20126/2012
Yes1.5537.2570.3504.9450.9001.5490.3551.62510.6341.0031.02511.3782.860
No16.5599.71811.44918.83518.06123.28513.63620.01516.53621.18311.24016.62616.184
Total18.11216.97511.79923.78018.96124.83313.99221.64027.17122.18612.26528.00419.043
Q3/2011Count Q4/2011Count Q1/2012Count Q2/2012Count YTDCount TotalCount Last 12 monthsCountYTD Share
Yes12.552152.804813.2622315.2632328.5254645.4347343.8816921.89%
No40.0025554.98210157.7358244.04984101.783166213.326347196.76832278.11%
Total52.5547057.78610970.99710559.312107130.308212258.761420240.649391100.00%
Versus Talk
6/20117/20118/20119/201110/201111/201112/20111/20122/20123/20124/20125/20126/2012
Lower 0 0 00.149 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Low end2.2963.857 01.1570.4754.5882.1342.8919.6615.0760.8722.7192.445
Middle9.4345.3942.850 00.4000.950 02.4391.1213.2340.690 00.494
High end0.500 02.500 01.016 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Low 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01.016
NA5.8827.7246.44922.47417.07019.29511.85816.31016.38913.87610.70225.28515.089
Total18.11216.97511.79923.78018.96124.83313.99221.64027.17122.18612.26528.00419.043
Q3/2011Count Q4/2011Count Q1/2012Count Q2/2012Count YTDCount TotalCount Last 12 monthsCountYTD Share
Lower0.1491 00 00 00 000.14910.14910.00%
Low end5.01587.1971117.628246.0361223.6643638.1715935.8755518.16%
Middle8.24491.35056.79481.18447.9791227.0063117.572266.12%
High end2.50011.0161 00 00 004.01633.51620.00%
Low 00 00 001.01611.01611.01611.01610.78%
NA36.6475148.2239246.5747351.0769097.650163188.403325182.52130674.94%
Total52.5547057.78610970.99710559.312107130.308212258.761420240.649391100.00%
Seniority
6/20117/20118/20119/201110/201111/201112/20111/20122/20123/20124/20125/20126/2012
Corporate mortgage6.056 0 04.993 03.7465.968 05.5204.996 05.0335.731
Corporate senior secured 00.273 0 0 0 0 00.1250.428 00.6240.2500.567
Corporate senior subordinated 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.506 0 0 0 0 0
Corporate subordinated 0 0 00.036 00.5500.250 01.800 01.000 0 0
Asset-backed0.541 0 00.498 00.4510.1201.000 0 00.3300.715 0
Corporate covered bonds 01.887 06.9155.418 02.0344.5492.0932.723 00.249 0
Corporate municipal0.250 0 00.199 00.310 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Corporate senior7.70611.2787.0583.7518.52915.2333.53010.94911.30211.9964.91112.0299.757
Mortgage-backed 00.944 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Provincial3.5602.5934.7417.3885.0154.5442.0904.5116.0272.4715.3999.7282.989
Total18.11216.97511.79923.78018.96124.83313.99221.64027.17122.18612.26528.00419.043
Q3/2011Count Q4/2011Count Q1/2012Count Q2/2012Count YTDCount TotalCount Last 12 monthsCountYTD Share
Corporate mortgage4.99319.713410.516310.764621.280942.0431535.9871416.33%
Corporate senior secured0.2731 000.55441.44151.99492.267102.267101.53%
Corporate senior subordinated 00 000.5063 000.50630.50630.50630.39%
Corporate subordinated0.03610.80031.80031.00012.80043.63683.63682.15%
Asset-backed0.49830.57141.00011.04562.04573.654193.113141.57%
Corporate covered bonds8.80347.45249.36560.24919.614725.8691525.869157.38%
Corporate municipal0.19910.3102 00 00 000.75940.50930.00%
Corporate senior22.0873627.2915934.2476426.6965560.943119118.027229110.32121446.77%
Mortgage-backed0.9443 00 00 00 000.94430.94430.00%
Provincial14.7222011.6493313.0092118.1173331.1265461.05611457.49610723.89%
Total52.5547057.78610970.99710559.312107130.308212258.761420240.649391100.00%
Moody's Rating
6/20117/20118/20119/201110/201111/201112/20111/20122/20123/20124/20125/20126/2012
Aaa6.4568.3965.99813.3449.2827.1348.4025.46510.69810.7022.0187.5447.225
Aa10.7664.0020.8445.8364.2993.2132.5216.0034.0282.6483.0742.9210.055
Aa23.4692.0602.9482.2332.4054.3800.8636.2270.5181.0722.7054.1826.225
Aa30.325 0 00.300 0 00.1000.3000.900 01.451 0 0
A1 0 0 0 0 00.011 0 00.3000.250 0 00.549
A2 0 0 00.2010.200 0 0 02.000 00.225 00.250
A3 0 00.3000.625 01.004 00.1250.946 0 00.450 0
Baa1 0 00.350 0 01.018 0 00.7503.983 00.3001.698
Baa23.592 0 0 0 04.019 0 01.4931.1810.4251.6880.300
Baa30.067 00.969 0 00.506 0 0 00.474 00.100 0
Ba10.3000.400 0 0 00.450 0 00.791 00.300 0 0
Ba2 0 0 0 0 0 00.305 0 00.497 0 00.169
B10.500 0 0 0 00.125 0 0 0 0 01.483 0
B2 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.051 0 00.297 0 0
B3 00.273 0 0 0 0 00.3000.0530.1040.6900.795 0
Caa1 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.900 0 0 0 0 0
Caa2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.196 0 0 0 0
NR2.6381.8430.3901.2422.3252.9721.8012.2704.4991.2751.0798.5402.573
P-1 0 0 0 00.450 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total18.11216.97511.79923.78018.96124.83313.99221.64027.17122.18612.26528.00419.043
Q3/2011Count Q4/2011Count Q1/2012Count Q2/2012Count YTDCount TotalCount Last 12 monthsCountYTD Share
Aaa27.7381924.8183426.8641616.7871743.65233102.6638996.2088633.50%
Aa110.6821310.0331012.678176.0491218.7272940.2085339.4425214.37%
Aa27.242127.647167.8171313.1122120.9293439.2876835.8186216.06%
Aa30.30010.10011.19931.45132.65163.37593.05082.03%
A1 000.01110.55020.54921.09941.11051.11050.84%
A20.20110.20012.00020.47522.47542.87662.87661.90%
A30.92531.00431.07140.45021.52163.450123.450121.17%
Baa10.35011.01824.73351.99846.73198.099128.099125.17%
Baa2 004.01962.67472.41355.0871212.698239.106183.90%
Baa30.96930.50620.47420.10010.57432.11692.05080.44%
Ba10.40010.45010.79110.30011.09122.24151.94140.84%
Ba2 000.30510.49710.16910.66620.97230.97230.51%
B1 000.1251 001.48311.48312.10831.60821.14%
B2 00 000.05110.29710.34820.34820.34820.27%
B30.2731 000.45741.48531.94272.21582.21581.49%
Caa1 00 000.9001 000.90010.90010.90010.69%
Caa2 00 000.1961 000.19610.19610.19610.15%
NR3.475157.099298.0432512.1933120.2365633.44811030.81010015.53%
P-1 000.4501 00 00 000.45010.45010.00%
Total52.5547057.78610970.99710559.312107130.308212258.761420240.649391100.00%
Industry Sector (by SIC code)
6/20117/20118/20119/201110/201111/201112/20111/20122/20123/20124/20125/20126/2012
Mining (1xxx)2.496 00.969 00.4003.013 0 01.1943.9830.2972.2780.500
Oil and gas (13xx) 00.400 0 00.2002.3240.3051.0750.3961.1810.2000.591 0
Manufacturing (2xxx, 3xxx)0.5700.448 01.1590.3500.750 00.1252.7020.9000.1010.7500.968
Transportation (4xxx) 0 0 0 0 02.084 0 0 0 00.399 00.397
Communications (48xx)0.300 0 00.200 0 0 0 00.992 00.6901.0970.998
Electric, gas, sanitary services (49xx)1.2780.3350.3500.9101.1251.7930.5010.3001.0450.8500.2250.4001.925
Wholesale (5xxx) 0 0 0 0 00.075 0 0 0 00.300 00.150
Finance, insurance, real estate (6xxx)7.93913.1995.73912.11011.8729.66610.75515.57914.71412.8014.65211.8038.749
Services (7xxx) 0 0 0 0 00.125 00.051 0 0 01.356 0
Health services (8xxx)1.371 0 01.006 00.148 0 00.100 0 0 0 0
Sovereign (8888)4.1582.5934.7418.3965.0154.8542.4304.5116.0272.4715.3999.7285.356
Total18.11216.97511.79923.78018.96124.83313.99221.64027.17122.18612.26528.00419.043
Q3/2011Count Q4/2011Count Q1/2012Count Q2/2012Count YTDCount TotalCount Last 12 monthsCountYTD Share
Mining (1xxx)0.96933.41355.17773.07558.2521215.1312412.635206.33%
Oil and gas (13xx)0.40012.82972.65270.79123.44396.672176.672172.64%
Manufacturing (2xxx, 3xxx)1.60781.10033.727121.81985.546208.823328.253314.26%
Transportation (4xxx) 002.0847 000.79720.79722.88192.88190.61%
Communications (48xx)0.2001 000.99222.78643.77864.27883.97872.90%
Electric, gas, sanitary services (49xx)1.59453.419142.19482.55064.7441411.036359.757333.64%
Wholesale (5xxx) 000.0751 000.45020.45020.52530.52530.35%
Finance, insurance, real estate (6xxx)31.0482732.2933443.0954625.2043768.29883139.578155131.64014452.41%
Services (7xxx) 000.12510.05111.35641.40751.53261.53261.08%
Health services (8xxx)1.00630.14810.1001 000.10012.62661.25550.08%
Sovereign (8888)15.7292212.2993613.0092120.4843733.4935865.67912561.52111625.70%
Total52.5547057.78610970.99710559.312107130.308212258.761420240.649391100.00%
Criteria

• The tables include all underwritten offerings reported to Prospect News.

• All amounts are in Canadian dollars.

• Offerings are included in the time period in which they price.

• Amounts are based on the total sales price (face amount multiplied by the offering price). The full amount is credited to the bookrunner (or lead manager if no bookrunners). For multiple bookrunners (or lead managers), the total value is divided equally among all the firms.

• Each tranche is counted as a separate deal.

• The provinces table includes all bonds sold by Canadian provinces in the Canadian market or abroad; the Canadian domestic market is Canadian dollar deals sold by issuers based in Canada; Maple bonds is non-Canadian issuers selling in Canadian dollars.

• Government of Canada bonds are excluded.

• Convertibles, trust preferreds and preferred stock are excluded.


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