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Published on 5/1/2012 in the Prospect News Canadian Bonds Daily.

Analysis of Canadian bond issuance for 13 months through April 2012

Columns are amount in billions of dollars, count of deals, percentage of total in dollars.

Market

4/20115/20116/20117/20118/20119/201110/201111/201112/20111/20122/20123/20124/2012
Canadian abroad5.0708.1195.07610.4432.39911.03310.4438.1202.59810.1998.84913.0192.881
Canadian domestic7.42212.43912.8116.5329.40012.7478.51916.71311.27411.44117.0228.9178.634
Maple bond1.4990.6750.225 0 0 0 0 00.120 01.3000.2500.750
Total13.99021.23218.11216.97511.79923.78018.96124.83313.99221.64027.17122.18612.265
Q2/2011Count Q3/2011Count Q4/2011Count Q1/2012Count Q2/2012Count YTDCount TotalCount Last 12 monthsCountYTD Share
Canadian abroad18.2652623.8752321.1612532.067362.881834.9484498.24811893.17910841.97%
Canadian domestic32.6716128.6794736.5058337.380658.6341946.01484143.869275136.44825655.26%
Maple bond2.3989 000.12011.55040.75022.30064.818163.319112.76%
Total53.3349652.5547057.78610970.99710512.2652983.261134246.935409232.946375100.00%
Use of Proceeds
4/20115/20116/20117/20118/20119/201110/201111/201112/20111/20122/20123/20124/2012
Acquisition1.0463.899 0 00.390 0 00.075 0 0 0 0 0
Capex 00.3390.500 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
GCP4.1131.5985.3895.7172.6491.8992.9934.4831.1196.25611.5701.3431.643
LBO 0 00.5700.273 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Redeem notes0.3001.298 0 0 0 0 00.400 0 00.9940.9881.812
Refinance0.4950.708 00.265 00.200 0 00.0520.400 0 0 0
Repay bank debt0.0960.949 00.200 0 00.6004.5060.1250.1750.3970.850 0
Multiple/Other/NA7.94012.44111.65310.5208.76021.68115.36915.37012.69614.81014.21019.0058.809
Total13.99021.23218.11216.97511.79923.78018.96124.83313.99221.64027.17122.18612.265
Q2/2011Count Q3/2011Count Q4/2011Count Q1/2012Count Q2/2012Count YTDCount TotalCount Last 12 monthsCountYTD Share
Acquisition4.94560.39020.0751 00 00 005.41094.36470.00%
Capex0.8392 00 00 00 00 000.83920.83920.00%
GCP11.0992210.265148.5941819.169241.643320.8122750.7718146.6587325.00%
LBO0.57010.2731 00 00 00 000.84320.84320.00%
Redeem notes1.5984 000.40011.98251.81243.79395.791145.491134.56%
Refinance1.20350.46530.05210.4001 000.40012.120101.62570.48%
Repay bank debt1.04560.20015.231111.4226 001.42267.898247.802221.71%
Multiple/Other/NA32.0355040.9614943.4357748.024698.8092256.83391173.263267165.32324968.26%
Total53.3349652.5547057.78610970.99710512.2652983.261134246.935409232.946375100.00%
Upsized?
4/20115/20116/20117/20118/20119/201110/201111/201112/20111/20122/20123/20124/2012
Yes4.6222.9101.5537.2570.3504.9450.9001.5490.3551.62510.6341.0031.025
No9.36818.14916.5599.71811.44918.83518.06123.28513.63620.01516.53621.18311.240
Downsized 00.173 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total13.99021.23218.11216.97511.79923.78018.96124.83313.99221.64027.17122.18612.265
Q2/2011Count Q3/2011Count Q4/2011Count Q1/2012Count Q2/2012Count YTDCount TotalCount Last 12 monthsCountYTD Share
Yes9.0852112.552152.804813.262231.025414.2872738.7287134.1066117.16%
No44.0767440.0025554.98210157.7358211.2402568.974107208.034337198.66631382.84%
Downsized0.1731 00 00 00 00 000.17310.17310.00%
Total53.3349652.5547057.78610970.99710512.2652983.261134246.935409232.946375100.00%
Versus Talk
4/20115/20116/20117/20118/20119/201110/201111/201112/20111/20122/20123/20124/2012
Lower0.500 0 0 0 00.149 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Low end2.7746.7722.2963.857 01.1570.4754.5882.1342.8919.6615.0760.522
Middle1.6156.2999.4345.3942.850 00.4000.950 02.4391.1213.2340.690
High end0.1751.0730.500 02.500 01.016 0 0 0 0 00.350
NA8.9257.0885.8827.7246.44922.47417.07019.29511.85816.31016.38913.87610.702
Total13.99021.23218.11216.97511.79923.78018.96124.83313.99221.64027.17122.18612.265
Q2/2011Count Q3/2011Count Q4/2011Count Q1/2012Count Q2/2012Count YTDCount TotalCount Last 12 monthsCountYTD Share
Lower0.50010.1491 00 00 00 000.64920.14910.00%
Low end11.841255.01587.1971117.628240.522218.1502642.2037039.4296121.80%
Middle17.349148.24491.35056.79480.69017.485934.4273732.811338.99%
High end1.74852.50011.0161 000.35010.35015.61585.44070.42%
NA21.8955136.6475148.2239246.5747310.7022557.27698164.042292155.11627368.79%
Total53.3349652.5547057.78610970.99710512.2652983.261134246.935409232.946375100.00%
Seniority
4/20115/20116/20117/20118/20119/201110/201111/201112/20111/20122/20123/20124/2012
Corporate mortgage 0 06.056 0 04.993 03.7465.968 05.5204.996 0
Corporate senior secured0.2051.505 00.273 0 0 0 0 00.1250.428 00.624
Corporate senior subordinated 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.506 0 0 0
Corporate subordinated 0 0 0 0 00.036 00.5500.250 01.800 01.000
Asset-backed2.0000.6000.541 0 00.498 00.4510.1201.000 0 00.330
Corporate covered bonds 0 0 01.887 06.9155.418 02.0344.5492.093 0 0
Corporate municipal 0 00.250 0 00.199 00.310 0 0 0 0 0
Corporate senior7.88113.1867.70611.2787.0583.7518.52915.2333.53010.94911.30214.7194.911
Mortgage-backed 0 0 00.944 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Provincial3.9035.9413.5602.5934.7417.3885.0154.5442.0904.5116.0272.4715.399
Total13.99021.23218.11216.97511.79923.78018.96124.83313.99221.64027.17122.18612.265
Q2/2011Count Q3/2011Count Q4/2011Count Q1/2012Count Q2/2012Count YTDCount TotalCount Last 12 monthsCountYTD Share
Corporate mortgage6.05614.99319.713410.5163 0010.516331.279931.279912.63%
Corporate senior secured1.71070.2731 000.55440.62421.17863.161142.956121.41%
Corporate senior subordinated 00 00 000.5063 000.50630.50630.50630.61%
Corporate subordinated 000.03610.80031.80031.00012.80043.63683.63683.36%
Asset-backed3.14180.49830.57141.00010.33011.33025.539173.539151.60%
Corporate covered bonds 008.80347.45246.6424 006.642422.8971222.897127.98%
Corporate municipal0.25010.19910.3102 00 00 000.75940.75940.00%
Corporate senior28.7735722.0873627.2915936.970664.9111141.88077120.032229112.15020650.30%
Mortgage-backed 000.9443 00 00 00 000.94430.94430.00%
Provincial13.4052214.7222011.6493313.009215.3991418.4093558.18411054.28010322.11%
Total53.3349652.5547057.78610970.99710512.2652983.261134246.935409232.946375100.00%
Moody's Rating
4/20115/20116/20117/20118/20119/201110/201111/201112/20111/20122/20123/20124/2012
Aaa3.5405.5396.4568.3965.99813.3449.2827.1348.4025.46510.69810.7022.018
Aa14.9984.5780.7664.0020.8445.8364.2993.2132.5216.0034.0282.6483.074
Aa21.5520.8493.4692.0602.9482.2332.4054.3800.8636.2270.5181.0722.705
Aa30.500 00.325 0 00.300 0 00.1000.3000.900 01.451
A10.4990.300 0 0 0 0 00.011 0 00.3000.250 0
A20.1500.475 0 0 00.2010.200 0 0 02.000 00.225
A30.750 0 0 00.3000.625 01.004 00.1250.946 0 0
Baa1 05.494 0 00.350 0 01.018 0 00.7503.983 0
Baa2 0 03.592 0 0 0 04.019 0 01.4931.1810.425
Baa3 00.8760.067 00.969 0 00.506 0 0 00.474 0
Ba1 0 00.3000.400 0 0 00.450 0 00.791 00.300
Ba2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.305 0 00.497 0
B1 0 00.500 0 0 0 00.125 0 0 0 0 0
B20.0610.227 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.051 0 00.297
B30.4550.339 00.273 0 0 0 0 00.3000.0530.1040.690
Caa1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.900 0 0 0
Caa2 00.900 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.196 0 0
NR1.4851.6552.6381.8430.3901.2422.3252.9721.8012.2704.4991.2751.079
P-1 0 0 0 0 0 00.450 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total13.99021.23218.11216.97511.79923.78018.96124.83313.99221.64027.17122.18612.265
Q2/2011Count Q3/2011Count Q4/2011Count Q1/2012Count Q2/2012Count YTDCount TotalCount Last 12 monthsCountYTD Share
Aaa15.5351227.7381924.8183426.864162.018428.8822096.9748593.4338034.69%
Aa110.3421510.6821310.0331012.678173.074715.7522446.8096241.8115318.92%
Aa25.870117.242127.647167.817132.705610.5221931.2805829.7295512.64%
Aa30.82520.30010.10011.19931.45132.65163.875103.37593.18%
A10.7992 000.01110.5502 000.55021.36050.86140.66%
A20.62530.20110.20012.00020.22512.22533.25183.10172.67%
A30.75020.92531.00431.0714 001.07143.750123.000101.29%
Baa15.49470.35011.01824.7335 004.733511.5961511.596155.68%
Baa23.5925 004.01962.67470.42513.099810.7101910.710193.72%
Baa30.94330.96930.50620.4742 000.47422.892102.892100.57%
Ba10.30010.40010.45010.79110.30011.09122.24152.24151.31%
Ba2 00 000.30510.4971 000.49710.80220.80220.60%
B10.5001 000.1251 00 00 000.62520.62520.00%
B20.2883 00 000.05110.29710.34820.63650.57540.42%
B30.79430.2731 000.45740.69011.14752.21491.75971.38%
Caa1 00 00 000.9001 000.90010.90010.90011.08%
Caa20.9002 00 000.1961 000.19611.09631.09630.24%
NR5.777243.475157.099298.043251.07949.1232925.4749723.9898810.96%
P-1 00 000.4501 00 00 000.45010.45010.00%
Total53.3349652.5547057.78610970.99710512.2652983.261134246.935409232.946375100.00%
Industry Sector (by SIC code)
4/20115/20116/20117/20118/20119/201110/201111/201112/20111/20122/20123/20124/2012
Mining (1xxx) 04.2382.496 00.969 00.4003.013 0 01.1943.9830.297
Oil and gas (13xx)0.3680.298 00.400 0 00.2002.3240.3051.0750.3961.1810.200
Manufacturing (2xxx, 3xxx)1.1620.9000.5700.448 01.1590.3500.750 00.1252.7020.9000.101
Transportation (4xxx) 0 0 0 0 0 0 02.084 0 0 0 00.399
Communications (48xx)0.5051.8260.300 0 00.200 0 0 0 00.992 00.690
Electric, gas, sanitary services (49xx)0.6200.7751.2780.3350.3500.9101.1251.7930.5010.3001.0450.8500.225
Wholesale (5xxx) 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.075 0 0 0 00.300
Finance, insurance, real estate (6xxx)7.3717.2017.93913.1995.73912.11011.8729.66610.75515.57914.71412.8014.652
Services (7xxx)0.0610.053 0 0 0 0 00.125 00.051 0 0 0
Health services (8xxx) 0 01.371 0 01.006 00.148 0 00.100 0 0
Sovereign (8888)3.9035.9414.1582.5934.7418.3965.0154.8542.4304.5116.0272.4715.399
Total13.99021.23218.11216.97511.79923.78018.96124.83313.99221.64027.17122.18612.265
Q2/2011Count Q3/2011Count Q4/2011Count Q1/2012Count Q2/2012Count YTDCount TotalCount Last 12 monthsCountYTD Share
Mining (1xxx)6.73490.96933.41355.17770.29715.474816.5902516.590256.57%
Oil and gas (13xx)0.66640.40012.82972.65270.20012.85286.747206.379183.43%
Manufacturing (2xxx, 3xxx)2.63271.60781.10033.727120.10113.828139.167318.005274.60%
Transportation (4xxx) 00 002.0847 000.39910.39912.48482.48480.48%
Communications (48xx)2.63180.2001 000.99220.69011.68234.513124.00892.02%
Electric, gas, sanitary services (49xx)2.67381.59453.419142.19480.22512.419910.106369.486332.91%
Wholesale (5xxx) 00 000.0751 000.30010.30010.37520.37520.36%
Finance, insurance, real estate (6xxx)22.5103331.0482732.2933443.095464.652847.74654133.598148126.22713457.34%
Services (7xxx)0.1142 000.12510.0511 000.05110.29040.22930.06%
Health services (8xxx)1.37111.00630.14810.1001 000.10012.62662.62660.12%
Sovereign (8888)14.0032415.7292212.2993613.009215.3991418.4093560.43911756.53611022.11%
Total53.3349652.5547057.78610970.99710512.2652983.261134246.935409232.946375100.00%
Criteria

• The tables include all underwritten offerings reported to Prospect News.

• All amounts are in Canadian dollars.

• Offerings are included in the time period in which they price.

• Amounts are based on the total sales price (face amount multiplied by the offering price). The full amount is credited to the bookrunner (or lead manager if no bookrunners). For multiple bookrunners (or lead managers), the total value is divided equally among all the firms.

• Each tranche is counted as a separate deal.

• The provinces table includes all bonds sold by Canadian provinces in the Canadian market or abroad; the Canadian domestic market is Canadian dollar deals sold by issuers based in Canada; Maple bonds is non-Canadian issuers selling in Canadian dollars.

• Government of Canada bonds are excluded.

• Convertibles, trust preferreds and preferred stock are excluded.


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