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Published on 3/1/2012 in the Prospect News Canadian Bonds Daily.

Analysis of Canadian bond issuance for 13 months through February 2012

Columns are amount in billions of dollars, count of deals, percentage of total in dollars.

Country

2/20113/20114/20115/20116/20117/20118/20119/201110/201111/201112/20111/20122/2012
Canadian abroad1.3785.7535.0708.1195.07610.4432.39911.03310.4438.1202.59810.1998.849
Canadian domestic17.80722.8287.42212.43912.8116.5329.40012.7478.51916.71311.27411.44116.972
Maple bond0.101 01.4990.6750.225 0 0 0 0 00.120 01.300
Total19.28628.58113.99021.23218.11216.97511.79923.78018.96124.83313.99221.64027.121
Q2/2011Count Q3/2011Count Q4/2011Count Q1/2012Count YTDCount TotalCount Last 12 monthsCountYTD Share
Canadian abroad18.2652623.8752321.1612519.0482319.0482389.48010988.10210539.06%
Canadian domestic32.6716128.6794736.5058328.4135428.41354166.904313149.09728158.27%
Maple bond2.3989 000.12011.30031.30033.919143.818132.67%
Total53.3349652.5547057.78610948.7618048.76180260.302436241.017399100.00%
Use of Proceeds
2/20113/20114/20115/20116/20117/20118/20119/201110/201111/201112/20111/20122/2012
Acquisition0.6440.9991.0463.899 0 00.390 0 00.075 0 0 0
Capex 00.212 00.3390.500 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Dividend/recap 00.350 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
GCP 03.9094.1131.5985.3895.7172.6491.8992.9934.4831.1196.25611.570
LBO 0 0 0 00.5700.273 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Redeem notes0.2500.2040.3001.298 0 0 0 0 00.400 0 00.994
Refinance0.2250.5250.4950.708 00.265 00.200 0 00.0520.400 0
Repay bank debt0.3490.4000.0960.949 00.200 0 00.6004.5060.1250.1750.397
Multiple/Other/NA17.81821.9837.94012.44111.65310.5208.76021.68115.36915.37012.69614.81014.160
Total19.28628.58113.99021.23218.11216.97511.79923.78018.96124.83313.99221.64027.121
Q2/2011Count Q3/2011Count Q4/2011Count Q1/2012Count YTDCount TotalCount Last 12 monthsCountYTD Share
Acquisition4.94560.39020.0751 00 007.052116.409100.00%
Capex0.8392 00 00 00 001.05131.05130.00%
Dividend/recap 00 00 00 00 000.35010.35010.00%
GCP11.0992210.265148.5941817.8262017.8262051.6947951.6947936.56%
LBO0.57010.2731 00 00 000.84320.84320.00%
Redeem notes1.5984 000.40010.99420.99423.44593.19582.04%
Refinance1.20350.46530.05210.40010.40012.869132.644120.82%
Repay bank debt1.04560.20015.231110.57230.57237.797257.448231.17%
Multiple/Other/NA32.0355040.9614943.4357728.9695428.96954185.200293167.38226159.41%
Total53.3349652.5547057.78610948.7618048.76180260.302436241.017399100.00%
Upsized?
2/20113/20114/20115/20116/20117/20118/20119/201110/201111/201112/20111/20122/2012
Yes3.2139.8994.6222.9101.5537.2570.3504.9450.9001.5490.3551.62510.634
No16.07218.6219.36818.14916.5599.71811.44918.83518.06123.28513.63620.01516.486
Downsized 00.062 00.173 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total19.28628.58113.99021.23218.11216.97511.79923.78018.96124.83313.99221.64027.121
Q2/2011Count Q3/2011Count Q4/2011Count Q1/2012Count YTDCount TotalCount Last 12 monthsCountYTD Share
Yes9.0852112.552152.804812.2591812.2591849.8138546.5997725.14%
No44.0767440.0025554.98210136.5026236.50262210.254349194.18232074.86%
Downsized0.1731 00 00 00 000.23520.23520.00%
Total53.3349652.5547057.78610948.7618048.76180260.302436241.017399100.00%
Versus Talk
2/20113/20114/20115/20116/20117/20118/20119/201110/201111/201112/20111/20122/2012
Lower 0 00.500 0 0 0 00.149 0 0 0 0 0
Low end3.88117.1892.7746.7722.2963.857 01.1570.4754.5882.1342.8919.661
Middle1.0942.0881.6156.2999.4345.3942.850 00.4000.950 02.4391.121
High end2.4900.5510.1751.0730.500 02.500 01.016 0 0 0 0
Higher 01.449 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
NA11.8217.3048.9257.0885.8827.7246.44922.47417.07019.29511.85816.31016.339
Total19.28628.58113.99021.23218.11216.97511.79923.78018.96124.83313.99221.64027.121
Q2/2011Count Q3/2011Count Q4/2011Count Q1/2012Count YTDCount TotalCount Last 12 monthsCountYTD Share
Lower0.50010.1491 00 00 000.64920.64920.00%
Low end11.841255.01587.1971112.5521812.5521857.6748953.7947825.74%
Middle17.349148.24491.35053.56163.561633.6854032.591377.30%
High end1.74852.50011.0161 00 008.306105.81690.00%
Higher 00 00 00 00 001.44921.44920.00%
NA21.8955136.6475148.2239232.6495632.64956158.539293146.71827166.96%
Total53.3349652.5547057.78610948.7618048.76180260.302436241.017399100.00%
Seniority
2/20113/20114/20115/20116/20117/20118/20119/201110/201111/201112/20111/20122/2012
Corporate mortgage 0 0 0 06.056 0 04.993 03.7465.968 05.520
Corporate senior secured 00.6350.2051.505 00.273 0 0 0 0 00.1250.428
Corporate senior subordinated 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.506 0
Corporate subordinated 03.000 0 0 0 0 00.036 00.5500.250 01.800
Asset-backed1.2570.2002.0000.6000.541 0 00.498 00.4510.1201.000 0
Corporate covered bonds 00.984 0 0 01.887 06.9155.418 02.0344.5490.600
Municipal 00.552 0 00.250 0 00.199 00.310 0 0 0
Corporate senior12.65419.9417.88113.1867.70611.2787.0583.7518.52915.2333.53010.94912.745
Mortgage-backed0.494 0 0 0 00.944 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Provincial4.8813.2693.9035.9413.5602.5934.7417.3885.0154.5442.0904.5116.027
Total19.28628.58113.99021.23218.11216.97511.79923.78018.96124.83313.99221.64027.121
Q2/2011Count Q3/2011Count Q4/2011Count Q1/2012Count YTDCount TotalCount Last 12 monthsCountYTD Share
Corporate mortgage6.05614.99319.71345.52025.520226.283826.283811.32%
Corporate senior secured1.71070.2731 000.55440.55443.171153.171151.14%
Corporate senior subordinated 00 00 000.50630.50630.50630.50631.04%
Corporate subordinated 000.03610.80031.80031.80035.63695.63693.69%
Asset-backed3.14180.49830.57141.00011.00016.667235.409172.05%
Corporate covered bonds 008.80347.45245.14935.149322.3891222.3891210.56%
Municipal0.25010.19910.3102 00 001.31061.31060.00%
Corporate senior28.7735722.0873627.2915923.6944723.69447134.440247121.78622748.59%
Mortgage-backed 000.9443 00 00 001.43840.94430.00%
Provincial13.4052214.7222011.6493310.5381710.5381758.46310953.5829921.61%
Total53.3349652.5547057.78610948.7618048.76180260.302436241.017399100.00%
Moody's Rating
2/20113/20114/20115/20116/20117/20118/20119/201110/201111/201112/20111/20122/2012
Aaa7.2059.2093.5405.5396.4568.3965.99813.3449.2827.1348.4025.46510.698
Aa13.7272.7074.9984.5780.7664.0020.8445.8364.2993.2132.5216.0034.028
Aa23.3632.8861.5520.8493.4692.0602.9482.2332.4054.3800.8636.2270.518
Aa3 03.0000.500 00.325 0 00.300 0 00.1000.3000.900
A1 00.5000.4990.300 0 0 0 0 00.011 0 00.300
A21.2500.3500.1500.475 0 0 00.2010.200 0 0 02.000
A3 00.5750.750 0 0 00.3000.625 01.004 00.1250.946
Baa1 00.999 05.494 0 00.350 0 01.018 0 00.750
Baa2 02.224 0 03.592 0 0 0 04.019 0 01.493
Baa30.3900.110 00.8760.067 00.969 0 00.506 0 0 0
Ba10.200 0 0 00.3000.400 0 0 00.450 0 00.791
Ba2 00.900 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.305 0 0
Ba3 01.449 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
B10.644 0 0 00.500 0 0 0 00.125 0 0 0
B2 0 00.0610.227 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.051 0
B30.1491.0840.4550.339 00.273 0 0 0 0 00.3000.053
Caa1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.900 0
Caa2 0 0 00.900 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.196
NR2.3582.5871.4851.6552.6381.8430.3901.2422.3252.9721.8012.2704.449
P-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.450 0 0 0 0
Total19.28628.58113.99021.23218.11216.97511.79923.78018.96124.83313.99221.64027.121
Q2/2011Count Q3/2011Count Q4/2011Count Q1/2012Count YTDCount TotalCount Last 12 monthsCountYTD Share
Aaa15.5351227.7381924.8183416.1631216.16312100.6689093.4638233.15%
Aa110.3421510.6821310.0331010.0311410.0311447.5226343.7955620.57%
Aa25.870117.242127.647166.745116.7451133.7536630.3905613.83%
Aa30.82520.30010.10011.19931.19935.42495.42492.46%
A10.7992 000.01110.30010.30011.61051.61050.62%
A20.62530.20110.20012.00022.00024.626103.37684.10%
A30.75020.92531.00431.07141.07144.325144.325142.20%
Baa15.49470.35011.01820.75020.75028.612138.612131.54%
Baa23.5925 004.01961.49341.493411.3281811.328183.06%
Baa30.94330.96930.5062 00 002.918102.52990.00%
Ba10.30010.40010.45010.79110.79112.14151.94141.62%
Ba2 00 000.3051 00 001.20541.20540.00%
Ba3 00 00 00 00 001.44921.44920.00%
B10.5001 000.1251 00 001.26930.62520.00%
B20.2883 00 000.05110.05110.33940.33940.10%
B30.79430.2731 000.35330.35332.654112.504100.72%
Caa1 00 00 000.90010.90010.90010.90011.85%
Caa20.9002 00 000.19610.19611.09631.09630.40%
NR5.777243.475157.099296.719206.7192028.01510425.6579813.78%
P-1 00 000.4501 00 000.45010.45010.00%
Total53.3349652.5547057.78610948.7618048.76180260.302436241.017399100.00%
Industry Sector (by SIC code)
2/20113/20114/20115/20116/20117/20118/20119/201110/201111/201112/20111/20122/2012
Mining (1xxx) 00.200 04.2382.496 00.969 00.4003.013 0 01.194
Oil and gas (13xx)0.3741.5300.3680.298 00.400 0 00.2002.3240.3051.0750.346
Manufacturing (2xxx, 3xxx)1.3491.2791.1620.9000.5700.448 01.1590.3500.750 00.1252.702
Pharmaceuticals (2834-6)0.6441.449 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Transportation (4xxx)0.8500.110 0 0 0 0 0 0 02.084 0 0 0
Communications (48xx)0.3902.9100.5051.8260.300 0 00.200 0 0 0 00.992
Electric, gas, sanitary services (49xx) 00.8750.6200.7751.2780.3350.3500.9101.1251.7930.5010.3001.045
Wholesale (5xxx) 00.300 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.075 0 0 0
Finance, insurance, real estate (6xxx)10.79915.6957.3717.2017.93913.1995.73912.11011.8729.66610.75515.57914.714
Services (7xxx) 00.2000.0610.053 0 0 0 0 00.125 00.051 0
Health services (8xxx) 00.212 0 01.371 0 01.006 00.148 0 00.100
Sovereign (8888)4.8813.8213.9035.9414.1582.5934.7418.3965.0154.8542.4304.5116.027
Total19.28628.58113.99021.23218.11216.97511.79923.78018.96124.83313.99221.64027.121
Q2/2011Count Q3/2011Count Q4/2011Count Q1/2012Count YTDCount TotalCount Last 12 monthsCountYTD Share
Mining (1xxx)6.73490.96933.41351.19441.194412.5102212.510222.45%
Oil and gas (13xx)0.66640.40012.82971.42141.42147.221236.846212.91%
Manufacturing (2xxx, 3xxx)2.63271.60781.10032.82792.827910.794369.445315.80%
Pharmaceuticals (2834-6) 00 00 00 00 002.09331.44920.00%
Transportation (4xxx) 00 002.0847 00 003.044102.19480.00%
Communications (48xx)2.63180.2001 000.99220.99227.122166.733152.03%
Electric, gas, sanitary services (49xx)2.67381.59453.419141.34541.34549.906349.906342.76%
Wholesale (5xxx) 00 000.0751 00 000.37520.37520.00%
Finance, insurance, real estate (6xxx)22.5103331.0482732.2933430.2943830.29438142.640160131.84114462.13%
Services (7xxx)0.1142 000.12510.05110.05110.49050.49050.10%
Health services (8xxx)1.37111.00630.14810.10010.10012.83872.83870.21%
Sovereign (8888)14.0032415.7292212.2993610.5381710.5381761.27011856.39010821.61%
Total53.3349652.5547057.78610948.7618048.76180260.302436241.017399100.00%
Criteria

• The tables include all underwritten offerings reported to Prospect News.

• All amounts are in Canadian dollars.

• Offerings are included in the time period in which they price.

• Amounts are based on the total sales price (face amount multiplied by the offering price). The full amount is credited to the bookrunner (or lead manager if no bookrunners). For multiple bookrunners (or lead managers), the total value is divided equally among all the firms.

• Each tranche is counted as a separate deal.

• The provinces table includes all bonds sold by Canadian provinces in the Canadian market or abroad; the Canadian domestic market is Canadian dollar deals sold by issuers based in Canada; Maple bonds is non-Canadian issuers selling in Canadian dollars.

• Government of Canada bonds are excluded.

• Convertibles, trust preferreds and preferred stock are excluded.


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