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Published on 2/1/2012 in the Prospect News Canadian Bonds Daily.

Analysis of Canadian bond issuance for 13 months through January 2012

Columns are amount in billions of dollars, count of deals, percentage of total in dollars.

Country

1/20112/20113/20114/20115/20116/20117/20118/20119/201110/201111/201112/20111/2012
Canadian abroad12.2091.3785.7535.0708.1195.07610.4432.39911.03310.4438.1202.59810.199
Canadian domestic12.79816.00821.8786.67212.43912.8116.5329.40012.1228.51916.71311.27410.297
Maple bond0.8991.9000.9502.2480.6750.225 0 00.625 0 00.1201.075
Total25.90619.28628.58113.99021.23218.11216.97511.79923.78018.96124.83313.99221.570
Q1/2011Count Q2/2011Count Q3/2011Count Q4/2011Count Q1/2012Count YTDCount TotalCount Last 12 monthsCountYTD Share
Canadian abroad19.3402218.2652623.8752321.1612510.199810.199892.83910480.6319447.28%
Canadian domestic50.6848731.9215928.0544536.5058310.2972510.29725157.462299144.66427247.74%
Maple bond3.748123.148110.62520.12011.07531.07538.717297.818264.98%
Total73.77312153.3349652.5547057.78610921.5703621.57036259.017432233.112392100.00%
Use of Proceeds
1/20112/20113/20114/20115/20116/20117/20118/20119/201110/201111/201112/20111/2012
Acquisition 00.6440.9991.0463.899 0 00.390 0 00.075 0 0
Capex0.072 00.212 00.3390.500 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Dividend/recap 0 00.350 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
GCP1.555 03.9094.1131.5985.3895.7172.6491.8992.9934.4831.1196.256
LBO 0 0 0 0 00.5700.273 0 0 0 0 0 0
Redeem notes0.4040.2500.2040.3001.298 0 0 0 0 00.400 0 0
Refinance 00.2250.5250.4950.708 00.265 00.200 0 00.0520.400
Repay bank debt0.3250.3490.4000.0960.949 00.200 0 00.6004.5060.1250.175
Multiple/Other/NA23.55117.81821.9837.94012.44111.65310.5208.76021.68115.36915.37012.69614.740
Total25.90619.28628.58113.99021.23218.11216.97511.79923.78018.96124.83313.99221.570
Q1/2011Count Q2/2011Count Q3/2011Count Q4/2011Count Q1/2012Count YTDCount TotalCount Last 12 monthsCountYTD Share
Acquisition1.64324.94560.39020.0751 00 007.052117.052110.00%
Capex0.28420.8392 00 00 00 001.12341.05130.00%
Dividend/recap0.3501 00 00 00 00 000.35010.35010.00%
GCP5.463911.0992210.265148.594186.25696.256941.6787240.1246829.00%
LBO 000.57010.2731 00 00 000.84320.84320.00%
Redeem notes0.85751.5984 000.4001 00 002.855102.45270.00%
Refinance0.75031.20350.46530.05210.40010.40012.869132.869131.85%
Repay bank debt1.07451.04560.20015.231110.17510.17517.725247.400230.81%
Multiple/Other/NA63.3529432.0355040.9614943.4357714.7402514.74025194.521295170.97126468.34%
Total73.77312153.3349652.5547057.78610921.5703621.57036259.017432233.112392100.00%
Upsized?
1/20112/20113/20114/20115/20116/20117/20118/20119/201110/201111/201112/20111/2012
Yes10.3283.2139.8994.6222.9101.5537.2570.3504.9450.9001.5490.3551.625
No15.57816.07218.6219.36818.14916.5599.71811.44918.83518.06123.28513.63619.945
Downsized 0 00.062 00.173 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total25.90619.28628.58113.99021.23218.11216.97511.79923.78018.96124.83313.99221.570
Q1/2011Count Q2/2011Count Q3/2011Count Q4/2011Count Q1/2012Count YTDCount TotalCount Last 12 monthsCountYTD Share
Yes23.440379.0852112.552152.80481.62551.625549.5068639.178727.53%
No50.2718344.0767440.0025554.98210119.9453119.94531209.276344193.69831892.47%
Downsized0.06210.1731 00 00 00 000.23520.23520.00%
Total73.77312153.3349652.5547057.78610921.5703621.57036259.017432233.112392100.00%
Versus Talk
1/20112/20113/20114/20115/20116/20117/20118/20119/201110/201111/201112/20111/2012
Lower 0 0 00.500 0 0 0 00.149 0 0 0 0
Low end2.0173.88117.1892.7746.7722.2963.857 01.1570.4754.5882.1342.891
Middle10.2501.0942.0881.6156.2999.4345.3942.850 00.4000.950 02.439
High end1.4182.4900.5510.1751.0730.500 02.500 01.016 0 0 0
Higher 0 01.449 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
NA12.22111.8217.3048.9257.0885.8827.7246.44922.47417.07019.29511.85816.240
Total25.90619.28628.58113.99021.23218.11216.97511.79923.78018.96124.83313.99221.570
Q1/2011Count Q2/2011Count Q3/2011Count Q4/2011Count Q1/2012Count YTDCount TotalCount Last 12 monthsCountYTD Share
Lower 000.50010.1491 00 00 000.64920.64920.00%
Low end23.0863111.841255.01587.197112.89152.891550.0318048.0147613.40%
Middle13.4321717.349148.24491.35052.43922.439242.8144732.5643611.31%
High end4.45971.74852.50011.0161 00 009.724148.306100.00%
Higher1.4492 00 00 00 00 001.44921.44920.00%
NA31.3466421.8955136.6475148.2239216.2402916.24029154.351287142.13026675.29%
Total73.77312153.3349652.5547057.78610921.5703621.57036259.017432233.112392100.00%
Seniority
1/20112/20113/20114/20115/20116/20117/20118/20119/201110/201111/201112/20111/2012
Corporate mortgage0.003 0 0 0 06.056 0 04.993 03.7465.968 0
Corporate senior secured 0 00.6350.2051.505 00.273 0 0 0 0 00.125
Corporate senior subordinated 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.506
Corporate subordinated 0 03.000 0 0 0 0 00.036 00.5500.250 0
Asset-backed 01.2570.2002.0000.6000.541 0 00.498 00.4510.1201.000
Corporate covered bonds4.496 00.984 0 0 01.887 06.9155.418 02.0344.549
Corporate municipal 0 00.552 0 00.250 0 00.199 00.310 0 0
Corporate senior13.44912.65419.9417.88113.1867.70611.2787.0583.7518.52915.2333.53010.949
Mortgage-backed0.7680.494 0 0 0 00.944 0 0 0 0 0 0
Provincial7.1894.8813.2693.9035.9413.5602.5934.7417.3885.0154.5442.0904.441
Total25.90619.28628.58113.99021.23218.11216.97511.79923.78018.96124.83313.99221.570
Q1/2011Count Q2/2011Count Q3/2011Count Q4/2011Count Q1/2012Count YTDCount TotalCount Last 12 monthsCountYTD Share
Corporate mortgage0.00316.05614.99319.7134 00 0020.766720.76360.00%
Corporate senior secured0.63531.71070.2731 000.12510.12512.743122.743120.58%
Corporate senior subordinated 00 00 00 000.50630.50630.50630.50632.35%
Corporate subordinated3.0002 000.03610.8003 00 003.83663.83660.00%
Asset-backed1.45773.14180.49830.57141.00011.00016.667236.667234.64%
Corporate covered bonds5.4804 008.80347.45244.54924.549226.2851421.7891121.09%
Corporate municipal0.55220.25010.19910.3102 00 001.31061.31060.00%
Corporate senior46.0457328.7735722.0873627.2915910.9492010.94920135.144245121.69522050.76%
Mortgage-backed1.2623 000.9443 00 00 002.20661.43840.00%
Provincial15.3392613.4052214.7222011.649334.44194.441959.55411052.36510120.59%
Total73.77312153.3349652.5547057.78610921.5703621.57036259.017432233.112392100.00%
Moody's Rating
1/20112/20113/20114/20115/20116/20117/20118/20119/201110/201111/201112/20111/2012
Aaa5.5347.2059.2093.5405.5396.4568.3965.99813.3449.2827.1348.4025.465
Aa110.6933.7272.7074.9984.5780.7664.0020.8445.8364.2993.2132.5216.003
Aa23.1763.3632.8861.5520.8493.4692.0602.9482.2332.4054.3800.8636.227
Aa30.548 03.0000.500 00.325 0 00.300 0 00.1000.300
A1 0 00.5000.4990.300 0 0 0 0 00.011 0 0
A20.6001.2500.3500.1500.475 0 0 00.2010.200 0 0 0
A30.499 00.5750.750 0 0 00.3000.625 01.004 00.125
Baa1 0 00.999 05.494 0 00.350 0 01.018 0 0
Baa2 0 02.224 0 03.592 0 0 0 04.019 0 0
Baa30.1500.3900.110 00.8760.067 00.969 0 00.506 0 0
Ba1 00.200 0 0 00.3000.400 0 0 00.450 0 0
Ba2 0 00.900 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.305 0
Ba3 0 01.449 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
B1 00.644 0 0 00.500 0 0 0 00.125 0 0
B2 0 0 00.0610.227 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.051
B3 00.1491.0840.4550.339 00.273 0 0 0 0 00.300
Caa1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.900
Caa20.072 0 0 00.900 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
NR4.6342.3582.5871.4851.6552.6381.8430.3901.2422.3252.9721.8012.200
P-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.450 0 0 0
Total25.90619.28628.58113.99021.23218.11216.97511.79923.78018.96124.83313.99221.570
Q1/2011Count Q2/2011Count Q3/2011Count Q4/2011Count Q1/2012Count YTDCount TotalCount Last 12 monthsCountYTD Share
Aaa21.9491915.5351227.7381924.818345.46565.465695.5059089.9718425.34%
Aa117.1282010.3421510.6821310.033106.00386.003854.1876643.4945727.83%
Aa29.425215.870117.242127.647166.227106.2271036.4117033.2356528.87%
Aa33.54840.82520.30010.10010.30010.30015.07394.52571.39%
A10.50010.7992 000.0111 00 001.31041.31040.00%
A22.19950.62530.20110.2001 00 003.225102.62680.00%
A31.07340.75020.92531.00430.12510.12513.878133.379110.58%
Baa10.99915.49470.35011.0182 00 007.862117.862110.00%
Baa22.22433.5925 004.0196 00 009.835149.835140.00%
Baa30.65030.94330.96930.5062 00 003.068112.918100.00%
Ba10.20010.30010.40010.4501 00 001.35041.35040.00%
Ba20.9003 00 000.3051 00 001.20541.20540.00%
Ba31.4492 00 00 00 00 001.44921.44920.00%
B10.64410.5001 000.1251 00 001.26931.26930.00%
B2 000.2883 00 000.05110.05110.33940.33940.24%
B31.23340.79430.2731 000.30020.30022.601102.601101.39%
Caa1 00 00 00 000.90010.90010.90010.90014.17%
Caa20.07210.9002 00 00 00 000.97230.90020.00%
NR9.578285.777243.475157.099292.20062.200628.13010223.4969010.20%
P-1 00 00 000.4501 00 000.45010.45010.00%
Total73.77312153.3349652.5547057.78610921.5703621.57036259.017432233.112392100.00%
Industry Sector (by SIC code)
1/20112/20113/20114/20115/20116/20117/20118/20119/201110/201111/201112/20111/2012
Mining (1xxx) 0 00.200 04.2382.496 00.969 00.4003.013 0 0
Oil and gas (13xx)0.0720.3741.5300.3680.298 00.400 0 00.2002.3240.3051.075
Manufacturing (2xxx, 3xxx)0.6981.3491.2791.1620.9000.5700.448 01.1590.3500.750 00.125
Pharmaceuticals (2834-6) 00.6441.449 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Transportation (4xxx) 00.8500.110 0 0 0 0 0 0 02.084 0 0
Communications (48xx) 00.3902.9100.5051.8260.300 0 00.200 0 0 0 0
Electric, gas, sanitary services (49xx)1.110 00.8750.6200.7751.2780.3350.3500.9101.1251.7930.5010.300
Wholesale (5xxx) 0 00.300 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.075 0 0
Finance, insurance, real estate (6xxx)16.83710.79915.6957.3717.2017.93913.1995.73912.11011.8729.66610.75515.579
Services (7xxx) 0 00.2000.0610.053 0 0 0 0 00.125 00.051
Health services (8xxx) 0 00.212 0 01.371 0 01.006 00.148 0 0
Sovereign (8888)7.1894.8813.8213.9035.9414.1582.5934.7418.3965.0154.8542.4304.441
Total25.90619.28628.58113.99021.23218.11216.97511.79923.78018.96124.83313.99221.570
Q1/2011Count Q2/2011Count Q3/2011Count Q4/2011Count Q1/2012Count YTDCount TotalCount Last 12 monthsCountYTD Share
Mining (1xxx)0.20016.73490.96933.4135 00 0011.3161811.316180.00%
Oil and gas (13xx)1.97780.66640.40012.82971.07521.07526.946226.874214.98%
Manufacturing (2xxx, 3xxx)3.326122.63271.60781.10030.12510.12518.790318.091280.58%
Pharmaceuticals (2834-6)2.0933 00 00 00 00 002.09332.09330.00%
Transportation (4xxx)0.9603 00 002.0847 00 003.044103.044100.00%
Communications (48xx)3.30052.63180.2001 00 00 006.131146.131140.00%
Electric, gas, sanitary services (49xx)1.98562.67381.59453.419140.30010.30019.971348.861311.39%
Wholesale (5xxx)0.3001 00 000.0751 00 000.37520.37520.00%
Finance, insurance, real estate (6xxx)43.3315222.5103331.0482732.2933415.5792215.57922144.762168127.92514472.23%
Services (7xxx)0.20010.1142 000.12510.05110.05110.49050.49050.24%
Health services (8xxx)0.21211.37111.00630.1481 00 002.73862.73860.00%
Sovereign (8888)15.8902814.0032415.7292212.299364.44194.441962.36211955.17311020.59%
Total73.77312153.3349652.5547057.78610921.5703621.57036259.017432233.112392100.00%
Criteria

• The tables include all underwritten offerings reported to Prospect News.

• All amounts are in Canadian dollars.

• Offerings are included in the time period in which they price.

• Amounts are based on the total sales price (face amount multiplied by the offering price). The full amount is credited to the bookrunner (or lead manager if no bookrunners). For multiple bookrunners (or lead managers), the total value is divided equally among all the firms.

• Each tranche is counted as a separate deal.

• The provinces table includes all bonds sold by Canadian provinces in the Canadian market or abroad; the Canadian domestic market is Canadian dollar deals sold by issuers based in Canada; Maple bonds is non-Canadian issuers selling in Canadian dollars.

• Government of Canada bonds are excluded.

• Convertibles, trust preferreds and preferred stock are excluded.


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