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Published on 10/29/2004 in the Prospect News Convertibles Daily.

Morgan Stanley top convertibles underwriter year to date

* Convertibles issuance totals $42.46 billion year to date

* Lehman top convertibles underwriter in October

* Convertibles issuance $2.55 billion in October

New York, Oct. 29 - Morgan Stanley extended its run at the top of the convertible league table to eight months, according to data compiled by Prospect News.

But market activity was once again thin, recording the second lowest monthly volume this year at $2.55 billion.

Year-to-date issuance continues at around half the year-ago pace.

Morgan Stanley has brought to market $6.90 billion of convertibles so far this year in 54 deals, achieving a 16.3% share of the total.

The firm continues significantly ahead of Citigroup, the number two firm, at $5.18 billion and Goldman, Sachs & Co. at number three with $4.84 billion.

Morgan Stanley has now topped the year-to-date league tables for eight consecutive months.

Lehman Brothers took the number one position in October with $912 million. That position was largely due to the $750 million exchangeable into General Mills Inc. that the firm issued and underwrote.

The Prospect News figures cover dollar-denominated deals offered in the United States as registered transactions or under Rule 144A.

If investment bank equity-linked deals are excluded, Morgan Stanley remains number one year to date with $6.42 billion while Goldman was first for October with $575 million.

October's total volume of new deals was $2.55 billion, including investment bank equity-linked deals.

That is the lowest so far this year apart from July's $1.04 billion and smaller than any month in 2003. September's figure was $2.78 billion (the previously reported $2.50 billion has been increased through greenshoe exercises).

Year to date, the total of new deals is now $42.46 billion, at 50.6% or little more than half the $83.86 billion for the comparable period of 2004.

At the current pace, 2004 is rapidly seeing its chances of matching the $64.4 billion in 2000 and the $60.40 billion in 2002 disappear. The $112.00 billion of 2001 or the $98.17 billion of 2003 look pretty much untouchable.

Issuance looks even weaker if investment bank equity-linked deals are excluded.

On that basis the year-to-date total is $38.81 billion against $80.17 billion at the same point in 2003.

Year to date 2004. including investment bank exchangeables

2003 Comparables

UnderwriterAmountNo.ShareRankAmountNo.Share
1Morgan Stanley6.9035416.26%410.0965512.04%
2Citigroup5.1843612.21%112.7386315.19%
3Goldman Sachs4.8396111.40%310.5666312.60%
4Lehman4.5182610.64%94.312325.14%
5Banc of America3.981209.38%66.936358.27%
6Merrill Lynch3.457278.14%58.7305510.41%
7Deutsche Bank2.955146.96%103.854214.60%
8JPMorgan2.837246.68%211.4704313.68%
9CSFB2.349135.53%85.021275.99%
10UBS2.281115.37%75.676386.77%
11Bear Stearns0.853122.01%130.70980.84%
12Jefferies0.59031.39%----
13SG0.37530.88%220.03010.04%
14Wachovia0.32530.77%111.44991.73%
15ABN0.290700.68%140.534190.64%
Total42.46134383.860352
Average size:0.1240.238
October 2004, including investment bank exchangeables
2003 Comparables
UnderwriterAmountNo.ShareRankAmountNo.Share
1Lehman0.912435.69%30.572715.80%
2Goldman Sachs0.607423.74%80.15924.40%
3Morgan Stanley0.263410.29%20.576315.92%
4Citigroup0.21138.28%10.682418.84%
5Banc of America0.13015.09%40.480213.26%
6JPMorgan0.12024.70%50.36239.99%
7UBS0.11324.40%140.00550.15%
8Merrill Lynch0.10514.11%60.25146.93%
9CIBC0.03711.47%----
10ABN0.02791.04%130.02540.69%
Total2.554333.62133
Average size:0.0770.110
Year to date 2004, excluding investment bank exchangeables
2003 Comparables
UnderwriterAmountNo.ShareRankAmountNo.Share
1Morgan Stanley6.4192916.54%49.7574512.17%
2Goldman Sachs4.3781911.28%310.0893612.58%
3Citigroup4.0352210.40%112.1465315.15%
4Banc of America3.9812010.26%66.936358.65%
5Lehman3.556159.16%93.887204.85%
6Merrill Lynch3.162198.15%58.2844010.33%
7Deutsche Bank2.955147.61%102.634193.29%
8JPMorgan2.837247.31%211.4704314.31%
9CSFB2.349136.05%85.021276.26%
10UBS2.281115.88%75.640247.03%
11Bear Stearns0.853122.20%130.68560.86%
12Jefferies0.59031.52%----
13SG0.37530.97%220.03010.04%
14Wachovia0.32530.84%111.44991.81%
15Barclays0.14410.37%----
Total38.80816580.167242
Average size:0.2350.331
October 2004, excluding investment bank exchangeables
2003 Comparables
UnderwriterAmountNo.ShareRankAmountNo.Share
1Goldman Sachs0.575234.51%80.14414.26%
2Morgan Stanley0.230113.81%20.552216.36%
3Citigroup0.200212.00%10.682420.23%
4Banc of America0.13017.80%40.480214.23%
5Lehman0.13027.80%30.496314.69%
6JPMorgan0.12027.20%50.362310.72%
7UBS0.11326.75%----
8Merrill Lynch0.10516.30%70.15014.45%
9CIBC0.03712.25%----
10PJ0.02611.56%----
Total1.666133.37215
Average size:0.1280.225
Prospect News Convertibles Underwriter Rankings
Criteria

* The tables include all dollar-denominated offerings sold in the United States as public or Rule 144A deals reported to Prospect News.

* Offerings are included in the time period in which they price.

* Amounts are based on the total sales price (face amount multiplied by the offering price). The full amount is credited to the bookrunner (or lead manager if no bookrunners). For multiple bookrunners (or lead managers), the total value is divided equally among all the firms.

* Each tranche is counted as a separate deal.

* Bonds are included that convert into the issuer's or another company's stock or the cash equivalent; bonds that convert into other bonds are excluded.

* Units made up of a bond and stock are included; units made up of a bond and warrants are excluded.

* Preferred issues are included using the same criteria as for bonds.


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