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Published on 2/8/2017 in the Prospect News Emerging Markets Daily.

Moody’s revises Indonesia to positive

Moody's Investors Service said it revised the outlook on Indonesia's government ratings to positive from stable.

Concurrently, the agency affirmed Indonesia's Baa3 issuer rating, Baa3 senior unsecured bond ratings and provisional Baa3 senior unsecured medium-term note program rating.

Moody’s said the key drivers of the change in outlook are emerging signs of a reduction in structural constraints on Indonesia's rating, including its level of external vulnerability and the strength of its institutions: (a) Indonesia's vulnerability to external shocks is declining somewhat and is expected to continue to do so, as a result of measures fostering narrower current account deficits, higher foreign exchange reserves, and a slower rise in private sector external debt; and (b) Indonesia's lengthening track record of macroeconomic stability and fiscal discipline, together with its measured but ongoing progress on structural economic, fiscal and regulatory reforms, suggest that policy effectiveness is improving.

In addition, the agency affirmed the provisional Baa3 senior unsecured medium-term note program rating and Baa3 senior unsecured ratings of the dollar-denominated trust certificates issued by Perusahaan Penerbit SBSN Indonesia III, a special purpose vehicle established by the Government of Indonesia.


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