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Published on 2/21/2023 in the Prospect News High Yield Daily.

Morning Commentary: Junk drops as Treasury yields hit three-month highs; outflows eyed

By Paul A. Harris

Portland, Ore., Feb. 21 – With the yield of the 10-year Treasury spiking to three-month highs on Tuesday morning, the junk bond market was off ½ point to as much as 1 point on low volume, according to a bond trader in New York.

The trader spotted 10-year governments yielding 3.93% at mid-morning and added that it appeared to be headed to 4%.

At that time, with the Dow Jones industrial average down 1.4%, the iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bd (HYG) share price was down 1.2%, or 89 cents, at $73.67.

The Hanesbrands Inc. 9% senior notes due February 2031 (B1/BB-) were basically unchanged on the morning at par ½ bid, par ¾ offered, the trader said.

That paper was par ½ bid, 101 offered last Friday.

The $600 million blowout deal priced at par on Feb. 10, the most recent session to see any action whatsoever in the dollar-denominated new issue market.

The primary market, which was quiet throughout the past week, remained quiet on Monday morning.

Heading into the past weekend, a syndicate banker professed visibility on a meager $2 billion of potential issuance for the Feb. 21 week but added presciently that spiking rates would almost certainly be an inhibiting force.

Outflows continue

The dedicated high-yield bond funds sustained $1.175 billion of net daily cash outflows on Friday, according to a market source.

High-yield ETFs saw $1 billion of outflows on the day.

That follows the previous session’s massive $2.29 billion of daily outflows from the ETFs.

Actively managed high-yield funds sustained $175 million of outflows on Friday, the source said.

The combined funds are tracking $3.64 billion of net outflows on the week that will conclude with Wednesday’s close, according to the market source.


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