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Published on 10/19/2023 in the Prospect News High Yield Daily.

Morning Commentary: Rocketing risk-free rates pressure bonds; Venture Global on tap

By Paul A. Harris

Portland, Ore., Oct. 19 – Risk-free bond rates remained on the march Thursday morning, creating chop in the capital markets and all but sidelining the high-yield new issue market, according to a bond trader in New York.

The 10-year Treasury was yielding 4.94% at mid-morning, after climbing as high as 4.96% in the early going on Thursday, the trader said.

They began the week at just above 4.7%, the source recounted, conceding that 5%-yielding 10-year government paper is all but a foregone conclusion.

One visceral impact came in the form of wide-to-guidance yield talk on the Venture Global LNG Inc. $4 billion two-part secured mega-deal that is teed up to price Thursday afternoon.

Talk on both tranches came at least 25 basis points wide to early guidance.

A tranche of 5.25-year bullets is talked to yield 9¼% to 9½%, wide to early guidance of 8¾% to 9%.

A tranche of callable 8.25-year notes is talked to yield 9¾% to 10%, wide to early guidance of 9¼% to 9½%.

Tranche sizes remain to be determined.

Elsewhere, recently minted bonds were trading below their issue prices on Thursday morning, sources said.

The Newfold Digital Holdings Group, Inc. 11¾% senior secured notes due October 2028 (B2/B/BB-) were 98¾ bid, 99½ offered, according to the trader.

Earlier in the week those bonds were par ½ bid, 101 offered.

The $515 million dividend funding and debt refinancing deal priced last Friday at par and went out later that day at 101½ bid, 101¾ offered.

The Viper Energy Partners LP 7 3/8% senior notes due November 2031 (Ba3/BBB-/BB-) were 99¼ bid, 99¾ offered on Thursday morning.

They were par ¼ bid on Tuesday.

The $400 million split-rated issue priced at par on the high-yield desk on Oct. 12.

Turning to topical names, the Rite Aid Corp. 8% secured notes due November 2026 were up ½ point on the morning at 71 bid, according to the trader.

The bankrupt Philadelphia-based drugstore operator disclosed plans to close 154 stores in order to hoard cash and address its massive debt.

The broad high-yield bond market was 1/8 of a point to ¼ of a point lower at mid-morning, against a backdrop of softer equity prices, the aforementioned rising risk-free rates and indications that the U.S. economy continues a slow descent, according to market sources.


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