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S&P: estimated November U.S. default rate holds steady in 11.1% range
By Caroline Salls
Pittsburgh, Dec. 2 - Standard & Poor's said the trailing 12-month U.S. speculative grade default rate held steady at an estimated 11.1% in November after recent economic news offered some glimmers of hope.
More specifically, S&P said preliminary estimates for the November U.S. rate is 11.12%, up marginally from 11.11% in October.
"The stabilization in the default rate comes as fewer defaults are being recorded," S&P's Diane Vazza said in a news release.
"However, the pool of high-yield issuers is also shrinking, which is keeping the default rate elevated."
The ratings agency said eight companies defaulted in November, bringing the year-to-date total to 184.
The November defaults are attributable to six non-financial sectors and two financial sectors, according to the release.
S&P said it expects the speculative-grade default rate to decline to a mean forecast of 6.9% by September 2010, but it could reach 9.9% if economic conditions are worse than expected.
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