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Published on 5/7/2007 in the Prospect News Bank Loan Daily, Prospect News Convertibles Daily, Prospect News Distressed Debt Daily, Prospect News Emerging Markets Daily and Prospect News High Yield Daily.

Moody's says defaults rise slightly to 1.5% in April, predicts 2.4% for year-end

New York, May 7 - Moody's Investors Service said the global speculative-grade default rate for the 12 months through April "edged up" to 1.5% from 1.4% the month before.

The level remains lower than the 1.6% recorded a year ago, the rating agency noted.

April saw just one default by a Moody's-rated issuer, Bally Total Fitness Holding, which failed to make interest payments due April 16 on $300 million of senior subordinated notes and defaulted under the terms of its indenture on an additional $235 million of senior notes.

Moody's forecasting model is now predicting the default rate for 2007 as a whole will be 2.4% and that by the end of April 2008 there will be a further increase to 3.4%.

"Default rates remain low due to a continuation of the benign economic conditions and ample liquidity, which have allowed distressed and lowly-rated credits avoid default," said Moody's director of corporate default research Kenneth Emery in a news release.

For 2007 so far, there have been four defaults by bond issuers with Moody's ratings, affecting $2.0 billion of bonds. The biggest is SunCom Wireless, which completed a distressed exchange on $750 million bonds in January. Three of the four defaults are from U.S.-based issuers, with the fourth coming from Italy.

No syndicated loans rated by Moody's defaulted in April. The 12-month default rate for loans held steady at 0.4%.


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