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Published on 11/1/2011 in the Prospect News Emerging Markets Daily.

Analysis of emerging markets issuance for 13 months through October 2011

Yield

10/201011/201012/20101/20112/20113/20114/20115/20116/20117/20118/20119/201110/2011
Less than 5%15.6007.4030.8228.0121.9414.0583.2375.2145.3495.8502.7260.9956.082
5%-5.99%3.1267.5950.8896.7661.2383.0735.6023.2973.4873.2232.177 07.657
6%-6.99%7.6123.5320.8474.4461.3319.9655.7015.7292.5482.768 00.3501.242
7%-7.99%3.4701.1870.4414.0361.9012.5493.4671.0912.6440.887 00.983 0
8%-8.99%4.199 0 01.9281.1010.5002.2036.747 00.200 0 00.150
9%-9.99%1.0200.284 01.6182.0611.0000.2811.7030.3000.6350.253 0 0
10% and higher1.6470.9060.4961.5770.8951.5470.3710.749 00.050 0 0 0
Floater0.1750.075 00.600 00.3700.3000.8500.2000.1751.0750.1000.104
NA1.9922.9451.1044.0363.4874.6154.2428.6126.3052.3580.9990.0603.960
Total38.84223.9264.59933.02013.95527.67825.40433.99120.83316.1457.2312.48719.196
Q4/2010Count Q1/2011Count Q2/2011Count Q3/2011Count Q4/2011Count YTDCount TotalCount Last 12 monthsCountYTD Share
Less than 5%23.8243414.0122013.800239.570176.082843.4646867.28810251.6888221.74%
5%-5.99%11.6101811.0771312.385165.400107.657836.5194748.1296545.0035918.26%
6%-6.99%11.9901715.7412113.978253.11851.242234.0795346.0707038.4586017.04%
7%-7.99%5.099128.486147.202141.8703 0017.5583122.6574319.186388.78%
8%-8.99%4.19953.52988.950170.20010.150112.8282717.0273212.828276.42%
9%-9.99%1.30474.679142.28490.8883 007.851269.155338.135273.93%
10% and higher3.049144.019101.12050.0501 005.190168.239306.592232.59%
Floater0.25020.97041.35031.35030.10413.774114.024133.849121.89%
NA6.0411012.1391919.159263.418103.960438.6775944.7186942.7266619.34%
Total67.36711974.65312380.22813825.8635319.19624199.940338267.307457228.465394100.00%
Versus Talk
10/201011/201012/20101/20112/20113/20114/20115/20116/20117/20118/20119/201110/2011
Lower3.1962.726 01.4910.7503.7070.495 0 01.779 0 00.649
Low end7.19010.0670.4966.2903.27412.1695.8888.0456.0186.7432.482 06.266
Middle5.5623.3100.5226.8695.0902.5141.85810.7426.7881.8402.8570.9953.738
High end1.1391.6000.308 0 01.0431.0481.541 0 0 00.9830.989
Higher1.416 0 00.500 0 0 0 0 00.700 0 0 0
NA20.3396.2223.27317.8704.8418.24316.11513.6628.0285.0831.8920.5107.554
Total38.84223.9264.59933.02013.95527.67825.40433.99120.83316.1457.2312.48719.196
Q4/2010Count Q1/2011Count Q2/2011Count Q3/2011Count Q4/2011Count YTDCount TotalCount Last 12 monthsCountYTD Share
Lower5.92285.94850.49511.77940.64928.8711214.7932011.597164.44%
Low end17.7542321.7342719.951349.225126.266757.1758074.92910367.7389328.60%
Middle9.3942214.4732819.388305.69183.738443.2907052.6849247.1228121.65%
High end3.04751.04332.58960.98310.98915.605118.652167.513142.80%
Higher1.41620.5001 000.7002 001.20032.61651.20030.60%
NA29.8345930.9545937.805677.486267.5541083.799162113.63322193.29418741.91%
Total67.36711974.65312380.22813825.8635319.19624199.940338267.307457228.465394100.00%
Upsized?
10/201011/201012/20101/20112/20113/20114/20115/20116/20117/20118/20119/201110/2011
Yes2.778 00.3001.3350.895 0 02.0400.3480.202 0 0 0
No35.06423.9264.29931.68513.06027.32825.40431.95120.48515.9447.2312.48719.196
Downsized1.000 0 0 0 00.350 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total38.84223.9264.59933.02013.95527.67825.40433.99120.83316.1457.2312.48719.196
Q4/2010Count Q1/2011Count Q2/2011Count Q3/2011Count Q4/2011Count YTDCount TotalCount Last 12 monthsCountYTD Share
Yes3.07822.23042.38850.2021 004.819107.898125.119112.41%
No63.28911672.07311877.84013325.6625219.19624194.771327258.060443222.99638297.41%
Downsized1.00010.3501 00 00 000.35011.35020.35010.18%
Total67.36711974.65312380.22813825.8635319.19624199.940338267.307457228.465394100.00%
Seniority
10/201011/201012/20101/20112/20113/20114/20115/20116/20117/20118/20119/201110/2011
sovereign6.2313.1710.5007.0442.9217.0377.4285.05610.3595.9990.9650.9835.983
senior secured0.636 0 0 00.683 00.1960.325 0 0 0 0 0
senior29.50719.7594.09924.74010.35119.40717.02927.8109.97610.1466.0661.50513.213
subordinated2.4670.996 01.236 01.2330.7500.8000.499 00.200 0 0
Total38.84223.9264.59933.02013.95527.67825.40433.99120.83316.1457.2312.48719.196
Q4/2010Count Q1/2011Count Q2/2011Count Q3/2011Count Q4/2011Count YTDCount TotalCount Last 12 monthsCountYTD Share
sovereign9.9021117.0021822.843247.947115.983553.7745863.6776957.4466426.89%
senior secured0.63630.68320.5212 00 001.20441.84171.20440.60%
senior53.3669954.4989954.81510917.7164113.21319140.243268193.609367164.10131670.15%
subordinated3.46262.46942.04930.2001 004.71888.181145.714102.36%
Total67.36711974.65312380.22813825.8635319.19624199.940338267.307457228.465394100.00%
Moody's Rating
10/201011/201012/20101/20112/20113/20114/20115/20116/20117/20118/20119/201110/2011
Aaa 0 0 0 02.739 0 0 01.4970.1750.999 0 0
Aa2 00.497 0 0 00.596 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Aa3 03.968 01.983 04.328 0 0 00.497 0 04.482
A16.7200.699 0 0 03.3552.5190.8150.2782.4850.5180.9952.489
A24.1780.0520.3251.6730.1751.2332.1800.6502.9220.9602.801 02.173
A31.9410.574 0 00.7461.7950.397 03.0000.321 0 00.499
Baa12.3753.690 05.9791.7702.0051.0141.9840.921 02.040 00.196
Baa24.7813.2140.9915.9091.2380.6991.2585.1491.2971.825 0 01.750
Baa31.7724.4800.4952.544 06.2372.2572.4454.2323.726 00.350 0
Ba1 00.597 01.3490.446 04.7472.270 0 0 0 00.497
Ba22.5991.484 00.7980.4640.6982.2392.423 00.706 0 00.989
Ba33.6590.200 00.9761.4881.2501.4413.478 00.750 0 00.150
B11.5580.3960.3081.0000.5361.2481.3503.792 02.918 0 0 0
B20.1400.2400.6960.5433.5050.5000.1750.2981.550 0 0 0 0
B30.252 0 0 00.100 0 00.5752.550 0 0 0 0
NR8.8663.8351.78310.2650.7483.7355.82710.1112.5871.7820.8731.1435.970
Total38.84223.9264.59933.02013.95527.67825.40433.99120.83316.1457.2312.48719.196
Q4/2010Count Q1/2011Count Q2/2011Count Q3/2011Count Q4/2011Count YTDCount TotalCount Last 12 monthsCountYTD Share
Aaa 002.73911.49711.1742 005.41045.41045.41042.71%
Aa20.49710.5961 00 00 000.59611.09321.09320.30%
Aa33.96836.3126 000.49714.482411.2911115.2591415.259145.65%
A17.41993.35563.61273.998102.489313.4542620.8733514.153276.73%
A24.55583.08155.75273.76142.173214.7671819.3222615.144207.39%
A32.51462.54153.39740.32110.49916.759119.273177.332133.38%
Baa16.06599.75483.91962.04020.196115.9091721.9742619.599227.96%
Baa28.987107.846127.704141.82551.750119.1253228.1114223.330379.57%
Baa36.747118.781118.934114.0765 0021.7902728.5373826.7653410.90%
Ba10.59721.79547.0179 000.49719.309149.906169.906164.66%
Ba24.08361.96064.662100.70620.98918.3181912.401259.802214.16%
Ba33.85983.71494.91990.75010.15019.5332013.392289.733214.77%
B12.26382.78485.14252.9185 0010.8431813.1062611.548215.42%
B21.07744.54892.0234 00 006.571137.648177.508163.29%
B30.25210.10013.1256 00 003.22573.47783.22571.61%
NR14.4853314.7483118.525453.798155.970943.04110057.52513348.65911921.53%
Total67.36711974.65312380.22813825.8635319.19624199.940338267.307457228.465394100.00%
Use of Proceeds
10/201011/201012/20101/20112/20113/20114/20115/20116/20117/20118/20119/201110/2011
Acquisition 00.165 0 0 0 0 01.650 0 00.194 0 0
Capex 0 0 00.4000.746 00.350 0 00.496 0 0 0
GCP10.7282.2750.63813.2092.7017.8434.7666.9833.0734.2951.4942.0775.291
No proceeds 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.113
Refinance4.0733.0670.3940.8531.0841.8803.5401.2700.6501.245 0 0 0
Multiple/Other/NA24.04118.4193.56818.5579.42517.95516.74724.08817.11010.1095.5430.41013.793
Total38.84223.9264.59933.02013.95527.67825.40433.99120.83316.1457.2312.48719.196
Q4/2010Count Q1/2011Count Q2/2011Count Q3/2011Count Q4/2011Count YTDCount TotalCount Last 12 monthsCountYTD Share
Acquisition0.1651 001.65020.1941 001.84432.00942.00940.92%
Capex 001.14620.35020.4961 001.99251.99251.99251.00%
GCP13.6402423.7533114.822297.867135.291551.7327865.37210254.6458625.87%
No proceeds 00 00 00 000.11310.11310.11310.11310.06%
Refinance7.534113.817105.460131.2452 0010.5222518.0563613.983325.26%
Multiple/Other/NA46.0288345.9378057.9459216.0613613.79318133.736226179.764309155.72326666.89%
Total67.36711974.65312380.22813825.8635319.19624199.940338267.307457228.465394100.00%
Industry Sector (by SIC code)
10/201011/201012/20101/20112/20113/20114/20115/20116/20117/20118/20119/201110/2011
Agriculture (0xxx)0.295 0 0 0 00.247 00.741 0 0 00.060 0
Communications (48xx)3.2681.0521.2991.639 00.707 00.2962.200 02.8010.1002.173
Construction (15xx) 01.678 0 00.4930.900 00.075 0 0 0 0 0
Electric, gas, sanitary services (49xx)2.6870.3361.5622.537 0 01.2712.5910.1431.9020.247 01.750
Finance, insurance, real estate (6xxx)12.55711.7480.6928.1166.92514.3958.34015.9035.0853.2782.5921.3457.853
Health services (8xxx) 0 0 0 0 0 00.160 0 00.497 0 0 0
Manufacturing (2xxx, 3xxx)4.4812.490 03.7871.7231.5373.9331.8470.4981.8830.231 0 0
Mining (1xxx)2.382 0 0 0 0 00.6151.6500.6280.950 0 0 0
Oil and gas (13xx)4.5003.4510.1338.713 00.9001.8244.836 01.241 0 01.190
Pharmaceuticals (2834-6) 0 0 0 0 00.750 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Services (7xxx)0.296 0 00.443 0 0 00.300 0 0 0 0 0
Sovereign (8888)7.2253.1710.5007.0442.9217.0377.4285.05610.3595.9990.9650.9835.983
Transportation (4xxx)1.150 00.413 01.2100.9060.2000.6961.920 00.395 00.247
Wholesale (5xxx) 0 0 00.7410.6830.2981.633 0 00.395 0 0 0
Total38.84223.9264.59933.02013.95527.67825.40433.99120.83316.1457.2312.48719.196
Q4/2010Count Q1/2011Count Q2/2011Count Q3/2011Count Q4/2011Count YTDCount TotalCount Last 12 monthsCountYTD Share
Agriculture (0xxx)0.29520.24710.74110.0601 001.04831.34451.04830.52%
Communications (48xx)5.620122.34752.49642.90132.17329.9161415.5362612.268204.96%
Construction (15xx)1.67821.39340.0751 00 001.46853.14773.14770.73%
Electric, gas, sanitary services (49xx)4.585112.53744.00492.14971.750110.4402115.0253212.338275.22%
Finance, insurance, real estate (6xxx)24.9965229.4365629.329597.215167.8531373.83214498.82919686.27216836.93%
Health services (8xxx) 00 000.16010.4971 000.65720.65720.65720.33%
Manufacturing (2xxx, 3xxx)6.971107.047136.279152.1147 0015.4403522.4114517.930397.72%
Mining (1xxx)2.3823 002.89360.9502 003.84386.225113.84381.92%
Oil and gas (13xx)8.084109.61396.66081.24121.190218.7042126.7883122.288279.35%
Pharmaceuticals (2834-6) 000.7502 00 00 000.75020.75020.75020.38%
Services (7xxx)0.29610.44320.3001 00 000.74331.04040.74330.37%
Sovereign (8888)10.8961217.0021822.843247.947115.983553.7755864.6717057.4466426.90%
Transportation (4xxx)1.56342.11652.81660.39520.24715.574147.137185.987162.79%
Wholesale (5xxx) 001.72141.63330.3951 003.74983.74983.74981.88%
Total67.36711974.65312380.22813825.8635319.19624199.940338267.307457228.465394100.00%
Country
10/201011/201012/20101/20112/20113/20114/20115/20116/20117/20118/20119/201110/2011
Africa 00.297 02.2281.9650.7870.7060.9830.6480.005 0 0 0
Asia11.1487.4080.6934.8565.0147.44911.46911.0204.9184.8160.9431.0954.069
Caribbean 00.2840.308 00.576 0 0 0 00.693 0 0 0
Emerging Europe4.5450.6400.3253.399 06.1673.2085.3516.8790.6321.0750.9832.219
Latin America8.6834.6902.27815.5423.4095.5094.72611.9330.9965.5484.2140.4106.886
Middle East8.2197.475 02.169 05.7002.2793.2061.7992.7500.999 05.676
Other 0 0 0 0 00.250 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Russia, CIS6.2473.1320.9954.8252.9901.8153.0161.4985.5941.702 0 00.346
Total38.84223.9264.59933.02013.95527.67825.40433.99120.83316.1457.2312.48719.196
Q4/2010Count Q1/2011Count Q2/2011Count Q3/2011Count Q4/2011Count YTDCount TotalCount Last 12 monthsCountYTD Share
Africa0.29714.98082.33660.0051 007.322157.618167.618163.66%
Asia19.2493717.3193627.407506.854184.069855.64811274.89814963.75012727.83%
Caribbean0.59220.5762 000.6932 001.26941.86161.86160.63%
Emerging Europe5.51089.566915.438172.68942.219229.9123235.4224030.8773614.96%
Latin America15.6513024.4614117.6553510.172176.886559.1749874.82512866.14211329.60%
Middle East15.693237.870117.284143.74965.676724.5793840.2736132.0545012.29%
Other 000.2501 00 00 000.25010.25010.25010.13%
Russia, CIS10.374189.6311510.108161.70250.346221.7873832.1615625.9144510.90%
Total67.36711974.65312380.22813825.8635319.19624199.940338267.307457228.465394100.00%
Currency
10/201011/201012/20101/20112/20113/20114/20115/20116/20117/20118/20119/201110/2011
$32.27820.8033.28328.08012.98622.49023.35028.05914.98415.5145.9112.48716.672
C$ 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.315 0 0 0 0 0
CHF 0 0 00.207 0 0 00.174 0 0 0 0 0
RMB 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.092 0 00.051 0 0
Y2.0190.185 00.219 0 0 0 01.5420.3100.194 0 0
4.5452.9381.3164.5140.9693.6912.0545.3513.8140.3211.075 01.731
£ 0 0 0 0 01.496 0 00.494 0 0 00.794
Total38.84223.9264.59933.02013.95527.67825.40433.99120.83316.1457.2312.48719.196
Q4/2010Count Q1/2011Count Q2/2011Count Q3/2011Count Q4/2011Count YTDCount TotalCount Last 12 monthsCountYTD Share
$56.36410263.55610866.39212023.9124716.67220170.532295226.896397194.61834185.29%
C$ 00 000.3151 00 000.31510.31510.31510.16%
CHF 000.20710.1741 00 000.38220.38220.38220.19%
RMB 00 000.09210.0512 000.14430.14430.14430.07%
Y2.20450.21911.54210.5042 002.26444.46892.44961.13%
8.799129.1751011.219131.39621.731323.5202832.3204027.7753611.76%
£ 001.49630.4941 000.79412.78352.78352.78351.39%
Total67.36711974.65312380.22813825.8635319.19624199.940338267.307457228.465394100.00%
Criteria

• The tables include all underwritten offerings sold in the international bond markets reported to Prospect News.

• Offerings are included in the time period in which they price (or settle if pricing date not available).

• Amounts are based on the total sales price (face amount multiplied by the offering price). The full amount is credited to the bookrunner (or lead manager if no bookrunners). For multiple bookrunners (or lead managers), the total value is divided equally among all the firms.

• Each tranche is counted as a separate deal.

• Units made up of a bond and a warrant are included; other units are excluded.

• Best efforts and non-underwritten deals are excluded.

• Non-dollar deals are converted to dollars at the rate shown in Federal Reserve's H.10 release on day of pricing.

• Emerging markets are all countries except: United States, Canada, United Kingdom, Germany, France, Italy, Japan, Australia, New Zealand, Netherlands, Ireland, Sweden, Norway, Denmark, Spain, Portugal, Switzerland, Luxembourg, Austria, Belgium, Finland, Iceland and Greece.


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